**Current forecast models from MetService and global ensembles point to a Friday high near 13–14°C in Wellington under mostly sunny skies following Thursday’s rain, with northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air.** Spring solar insolation and building high pressure are supporting modest daytime warming, while the city’s exposed coastal setting and variable wind speeds introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Recent model runs show limited spread around these values, keeping the 14–16°C range dominant in trader pricing; a stronger or more persistent NW flow could push readings toward 15–16°C, whereas any earlier wind shift or increased cloud cover would favor the lower 13–14°C outcomes. Updated NWP guidance and local observations through Thursday evening will be the next key inputs for market movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on September 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 11?
15°C 49%
16°C 19%
14°C 19%
13°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
9%
13°C
9%
14°C
19%
15°C
49%
16°C
19%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
15°C 49%
16°C 19%
14°C 19%
13°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
9°C or below
$105 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$63 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Wol.
3%
12°C
$0 Wol.
9%
13°C
$8 Wol.
9%
14°C
$45 Wol.
19%
15°C
$135 Wol.
49%
16°C
$29 Wol.
19%
17°C
$11 Wol.
5%
18°C
$57 Wol.
1%
19°C or higher
$105 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from MetService and global ensembles point to a Friday high near 13–14°C in Wellington under mostly sunny skies following Thursday’s rain, with northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air.** Spring solar insolation and building high pressure are supporting modest daytime warming, while the city’s exposed coastal setting and variable wind speeds introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Recent model runs show limited spread around these values, keeping the 14–16°C range dominant in trader pricing; a stronger or more persistent NW flow could push readings toward 15–16°C, whereas any earlier wind shift or increased cloud cover would favor the lower 13–14°C outcomes. Updated NWP guidance and local observations through Thursday evening will be the next key inputs for market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$558Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from MetService and global ensembles point to a Friday high near 13–14°C in Wellington under mostly sunny skies following Thursday’s rain, with northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air.** Spring solar insolation and building high pressure are supporting modest daytime warming, while the city’s exposed coastal setting and variable wind speeds introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Recent model runs show limited spread around these values, keeping the 14–16°C range dominant in trader pricing; a stronger or more persistent NW flow could push readings toward 15–16°C, whereas any earlier wind shift or increased cloud cover would favor the lower 13–14°C outcomes. Updated NWP guidance and local observations through Thursday evening will be the next key inputs for market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$558Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from MetService and global ensembles point to a Friday high near 13–14°C in Wellington under mostly sunny skies following Thursday’s rain, with northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air.** Spring solar insolation and building high pressure are supporting modest daytime warming, while the city’s exposed coastal setting and variable wind speeds introduce uncertainty in peak readings. Recent model runs show limited spread around these values, keeping the 14–16°C range dominant in trader pricing; a stronger or more persistent NW flow could push readings toward 15–16°C, whereas any earlier wind shift or increased cloud cover would favor the lower 13–14°C outcomes. Updated NWP guidance and local observations through Thursday evening will be the next key inputs for market movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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