Current forecasts from regional models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 15 will settle near 25–26°C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 90%, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling. Light easterly or variable winds under 5 km/h further reduce heat loss, while the urban heat island effect sustains temperatures above the climatological average low of 25°C. Trader consensus around 26–27°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and minimal model spread, with lower probabilities for 23°C or below tied to the rarity of stronger cold surges or clear-sky conditions this time of year. Updated National Meteorological and Hydrological Services guidance and hourly observations near resolution will clarify any final adjustments from precipitation timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Manila on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 15?
27°C 99%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
25°C 20%
$958 Wol.
$958 Wol.
Sep 15, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 99%
23°C 20%
24°C 20%
25°C 20%
$958 Wol.
$958 Wol.
Sep 15, 2026
21°C or below
$10 Wol.
No
22°C
$10 Wol.
No
23°C
$82 Wol.
No
24°C
$75 Wol.
No
25°C
$85 Wol.
No
26°C
$75 Wol.
No
27°C
$213 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$341 Wol.
No
29°C
$26 Wol.
No
30°C
$10 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$32 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 15 will settle near 25–26°C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 90%, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling. Light easterly or variable winds under 5 km/h further reduce heat loss, while the urban heat island effect sustains temperatures above the climatological average low of 25°C. Trader consensus around 26–27°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and minimal model spread, with lower probabilities for 23°C or below tied to the rarity of stronger cold surges or clear-sky conditions this time of year. Updated National Meteorological and Hydrological Services guidance and hourly observations near resolution will clarify any final adjustments from precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
Wolumen
$958Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 15 will settle near 25–26°C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 90%, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling. Light easterly or variable winds under 5 km/h further reduce heat loss, while the urban heat island effect sustains temperatures above the climatological average low of 25°C. Trader consensus around 26–27°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and minimal model spread, with lower probabilities for 23°C or below tied to the rarity of stronger cold surges or clear-sky conditions this time of year. Updated National Meteorological and Hydrological Services guidance and hourly observations near resolution will clarify any final adjustments from precipitation timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$958Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Current forecasts from regional models indicate Manila's overnight low on September 15 will settle near 25–26°C amid typical southwest monsoon conditions, with high humidity near 90%, widespread cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms limiting radiative cooling. Light easterly or variable winds under 5 km/h further reduce heat loss, while the urban heat island effect sustains temperatures above the climatological average low of 25°C. Trader consensus around 26–27°C reflects these stable atmospheric patterns and minimal model spread, with lower probabilities for 23°C or below tied to the rarity of stronger cold surges or clear-sky conditions this time of year. Updated National Meteorological and Hydrological Services guidance and hourly observations near resolution will clarify any final adjustments from precipitation timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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