Recent monsoon break conditions driven by a distant tropical depression and prevailing easterlies have reduced southwest monsoon influence over Manila, allowing partly cloudy skies with localized afternoon thunderstorms possible on September 16. PAGASA observations and model consensus indicate typical September nighttime radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, with forecast lows centered near 25–26°C and potential for brief drops below 24°C amid heavy showers or enhanced humidity. These factors support trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 42% implied probability, while mid-20s buckets reflect baseline climatology and uncertainty in exact overnight minimums ahead of the next official update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Manila on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 16?
20°C or below 43%
30°C or higher 43%
23°C 39%
29°C 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
43%
21°C
13%
22°C
14%
23°C
39%
24°C
21%
25°C
27%
26°C
29%
27°C
30%
28°C
23%
29°C
38%
30°C or higher
43%
20°C or below 43%
30°C or higher 43%
23°C 39%
29°C 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Wol.
43%
21°C
$0 Wol.
13%
22°C
$0 Wol.
14%
23°C
$0 Wol.
39%
24°C
$100 Wol.
21%
25°C
$0 Wol.
27%
26°C
$0 Wol.
29%
27°C
$0 Wol.
30%
28°C
$0 Wol.
23%
29°C
$0 Wol.
38%
30°C or higher
$0 Wol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon break conditions driven by a distant tropical depression and prevailing easterlies have reduced southwest monsoon influence over Manila, allowing partly cloudy skies with localized afternoon thunderstorms possible on September 16. PAGASA observations and model consensus indicate typical September nighttime radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, with forecast lows centered near 25–26°C and potential for brief drops below 24°C amid heavy showers or enhanced humidity. These factors support trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 42% implied probability, while mid-20s buckets reflect baseline climatology and uncertainty in exact overnight minimums ahead of the next official update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Wolumen
$100Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon break conditions driven by a distant tropical depression and prevailing easterlies have reduced southwest monsoon influence over Manila, allowing partly cloudy skies with localized afternoon thunderstorms possible on September 16. PAGASA observations and model consensus indicate typical September nighttime radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, with forecast lows centered near 25–26°C and potential for brief drops below 24°C amid heavy showers or enhanced humidity. These factors support trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 42% implied probability, while mid-20s buckets reflect baseline climatology and uncertainty in exact overnight minimums ahead of the next official update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$100Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:32 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon break conditions driven by a distant tropical depression and prevailing easterlies have reduced southwest monsoon influence over Manila, allowing partly cloudy skies with localized afternoon thunderstorms possible on September 16. PAGASA observations and model consensus indicate typical September nighttime radiative cooling under variable cloud cover, with forecast lows centered near 25–26°C and potential for brief drops below 24°C amid heavy showers or enhanced humidity. These factors support trader emphasis on the 20°C-or-below outcome at 42% implied probability, while mid-20s buckets reflect baseline climatology and uncertainty in exact overnight minimums ahead of the next official update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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