Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Chongqing are the main factors keeping trader odds nearly even between a minimum of 15°C or below versus 25°C or higher on September 18. High humidity and ongoing light rain or mist limit nighttime radiative cooling, supporting warmer lows near 20–22°C according to current model consensus, while any clearing could allow greater heat loss. Chongqing’s varied topography adds local variability, and short-term forecast shifts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could quickly alter implied probabilities ahead of resolution. Historical September overnight lows average around 22°C, underscoring the current uncertainty from variable steering patterns and precipitation timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 18?
15°C or below 91%
25°C or higher 91%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
15°C or below
91%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
17%
19°C
13%
20°C
30%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
38%
24°C
25%
25°C or higher
91%
15°C or below 91%
25°C or higher 91%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
15°C or below
91%
16°C
38%
17°C
38%
18°C
17%
19°C
13%
20°C
30%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
38%
24°C
25%
25°C or higher
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall and persistent cloud cover over Chongqing are the main factors keeping trader odds nearly even between a minimum of 15°C or below versus 25°C or higher on September 18. High humidity and ongoing light rain or mist limit nighttime radiative cooling, supporting warmer lows near 20–22°C according to current model consensus, while any clearing could allow greater heat loss. Chongqing’s varied topography adds local variability, and short-term forecast shifts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could quickly alter implied probabilities ahead of resolution. Historical September overnight lows average around 22°C, underscoring the current uncertainty from variable steering patterns and precipitation timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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