Recent forecast models from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Busan highs clustering around 28–30°C on September 13 under stable high pressure, light southerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit but do not eliminate afternoon solar heating. The narrow 30–31°C lead in market-implied odds stems from ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and coastal sea-breeze timing, which can add or subtract 1–2°C depending on exact wind shift and cloud fraction. Historical September climatology supports this range, with urban heat effects in Busan occasionally pushing peaks 1°C above rural analogs. Updated model runs and official briefings expected tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on September 13?
Highest temperature in Busan on September 13?
31°C 35%
30°C 31%
32°C 13%
28°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
26°C or below
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
14%
30°C
31%
31°C
35%
32°C
13%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
30°C 31%
32°C 13%
28°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 13, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
27°C
$0 Wol.
3%
28°C
$0 Wol.
11%
29°C
$30 Wol.
14%
30°C
$4 Wol.
31%
31°C
$821 Wol.
35%
32°C
$0 Wol.
13%
33°C
$8 Wol.
8%
34°C
$0 Wol.
3%
35°C
$0 Wol.
1%
36°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Busan highs clustering around 28–30°C on September 13 under stable high pressure, light southerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit but do not eliminate afternoon solar heating. The narrow 30–31°C lead in market-implied odds stems from ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and coastal sea-breeze timing, which can add or subtract 1–2°C depending on exact wind shift and cloud fraction. Historical September climatology supports this range, with urban heat effects in Busan occasionally pushing peaks 1°C above rural analogs. Updated model runs and official briefings expected tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$863Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Busan highs clustering around 28–30°C on September 13 under stable high pressure, light southerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit but do not eliminate afternoon solar heating. The narrow 30–31°C lead in market-implied odds stems from ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and coastal sea-breeze timing, which can add or subtract 1–2°C depending on exact wind shift and cloud fraction. Historical September climatology supports this range, with urban heat effects in Busan occasionally pushing peaks 1°C above rural analogs. Updated model runs and official briefings expected tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$863Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show Busan highs clustering around 28–30°C on September 13 under stable high pressure, light southerly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit but do not eliminate afternoon solar heating. The narrow 30–31°C lead in market-implied odds stems from ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and coastal sea-breeze timing, which can add or subtract 1–2°C depending on exact wind shift and cloud fraction. Historical September climatology supports this range, with urban heat effects in Busan occasionally pushing peaks 1°C above rural analogs. Updated model runs and official briefings expected tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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