Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul will experience clear skies and northeasterly winds on September 11, supporting overnight radiative cooling with minimum temperatures likely near 19–21°C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across low (16°C or below) and high (26°C or higher) outcomes, reflecting trader focus on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperatures from the adjacent Marmara and Black Seas. Stronger winds could limit cooling and push the daily low higher, while calmer conditions or clearer radiational loss would favor cooler readings. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will provide the key data shifts ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
16°C or below 74%
26°C or higher 74%
18°C 40%
23°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
74%
17°C
19%
18°C
40%
19°C
22%
20°C
24%
21°C
25%
22°C
24%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
18%
26°C or higher
74%
16°C or below 74%
26°C or higher 74%
18°C 40%
23°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Wol.
74%
17°C
$0 Wol.
19%
18°C
$0 Wol.
40%
19°C
$0 Wol.
22%
20°C
$0 Wol.
24%
21°C
$0 Wol.
25%
22°C
$0 Wol.
24%
23°C
$0 Wol.
40%
24°C
$0 Wol.
40%
25°C
$0 Wol.
18%
26°C or higher
$0 Wol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul will experience clear skies and northeasterly winds on September 11, supporting overnight radiative cooling with minimum temperatures likely near 19–21°C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across low (16°C or below) and high (26°C or higher) outcomes, reflecting trader focus on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperatures from the adjacent Marmara and Black Seas. Stronger winds could limit cooling and push the daily low higher, while calmer conditions or clearer radiational loss would favor cooler readings. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will provide the key data shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul will experience clear skies and northeasterly winds on September 11, supporting overnight radiative cooling with minimum temperatures likely near 19–21°C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across low (16°C or below) and high (26°C or higher) outcomes, reflecting trader focus on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperatures from the adjacent Marmara and Black Seas. Stronger winds could limit cooling and push the daily low higher, while calmer conditions or clearer radiational loss would favor cooler readings. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will provide the key data shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Istanbul will experience clear skies and northeasterly winds on September 11, supporting overnight radiative cooling with minimum temperatures likely near 19–21°C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds across low (16°C or below) and high (26°C or higher) outcomes, reflecting trader focus on subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-surface temperatures from the adjacent Marmara and Black Seas. Stronger winds could limit cooling and push the daily low higher, while calmer conditions or clearer radiational loss would favor cooler readings. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening will provide the key data shifts ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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