Forecast consensus from regional models points to a peak of 30°C in Ankara on September 10 under clear skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market's dominant 62.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover have stabilized daytime heating near late-summer norms, with ensemble runs showing only modest spread between 29–31°C. The 24% chance assigned to 31°C reflects residual model uncertainty in maximum insolation timing, while lower-probability bins below 29°C or above 32°C remain discounted absent any incoming frontal activity or measurement revisions. Official observations from central stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 10?
30°C 63%
31°C 24%
29°C 8%
27°C 2%
NOWE
$13,956 Wol.
NOWE
$13,956 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
63%
31°C
24%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 63%
31°C 24%
29°C 8%
27°C 2%
NOWE
$13,956 Wol.
NOWE
$13,956 Wol.
Sep 10, 2026
24°C or below
$1,270 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$361 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$538 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$101 Wol.
2%
28°C
$378 Wol.
2%
29°C
$1,965 Wol.
8%
30°C
$4,733 Wol.
63%
31°C
$3,254 Wol.
24%
32°C
$920 Wol.
2%
33°C
$56 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$379 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models points to a peak of 30°C in Ankara on September 10 under clear skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market's dominant 62.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover have stabilized daytime heating near late-summer norms, with ensemble runs showing only modest spread between 29–31°C. The 24% chance assigned to 31°C reflects residual model uncertainty in maximum insolation timing, while lower-probability bins below 29°C or above 32°C remain discounted absent any incoming frontal activity or measurement revisions. Official observations from central stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,956Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from regional models points to a peak of 30°C in Ankara on September 10 under clear skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market's dominant 62.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover have stabilized daytime heating near late-summer norms, with ensemble runs showing only modest spread between 29–31°C. The 24% chance assigned to 31°C reflects residual model uncertainty in maximum insolation timing, while lower-probability bins below 29°C or above 32°C remain discounted absent any incoming frontal activity or measurement revisions. Official observations from central stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,956Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from regional models points to a peak of 30°C in Ankara on September 10 under clear skies and light westerly flow, aligning with the market's dominant 62.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Recent high-pressure dominance and minimal cloud cover have stabilized daytime heating near late-summer norms, with ensemble runs showing only modest spread between 29–31°C. The 24% chance assigned to 31°C reflects residual model uncertainty in maximum insolation timing, while lower-probability bins below 29°C or above 32°C remain discounted absent any incoming frontal activity or measurement revisions. Official observations from central stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is confirmed.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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