Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a daytime high near 24–25°C in London on September 14 under southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited precipitation, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Model consensus shows modest warming from prior days but tempered by variable cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Historical September averages near 20°C provide context for the current above-normal signal, while inherent forecast uncertainty—particularly in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any showers—explains the spread across 23–26°C bins. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on September 14?
Highest temperature in London on September 14?
24°C 37%
25°C 32%
23°C 21%
26°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
21%
24°C
37%
25°C
32%
26°C
12%
27°C or higher
12%
24°C 37%
25°C 32%
23°C 21%
26°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
17°C or below
$10 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$10 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Wol.
1%
20°C
$0 Wol.
2%
21°C
$0 Wol.
3%
22°C
$25 Wol.
9%
23°C
$0 Wol.
21%
24°C
$334 Wol.
37%
25°C
$260 Wol.
32%
26°C
$270 Wol.
12%
27°C or higher
$0 Wol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a daytime high near 24–25°C in London on September 14 under southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited precipitation, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Model consensus shows modest warming from prior days but tempered by variable cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Historical September averages near 20°C provide context for the current above-normal signal, while inherent forecast uncertainty—particularly in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any showers—explains the spread across 23–26°C bins. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$908Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a daytime high near 24–25°C in London on September 14 under southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited precipitation, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Model consensus shows modest warming from prior days but tempered by variable cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Historical September averages near 20°C provide context for the current above-normal signal, while inherent forecast uncertainty—particularly in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any showers—explains the spread across 23–26°C bins. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$908Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the Met Office indicate a daytime high near 24–25°C in London on September 14 under southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited precipitation, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Model consensus shows modest warming from prior days but tempered by variable cloud cover that could suppress peaks by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Historical September averages near 20°C provide context for the current above-normal signal, while inherent forecast uncertainty—particularly in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any showers—explains the spread across 23–26°C bins. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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