Recent NOAA and regional model consensus points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Seattle on September 16, favoring radiational cooling under high pressure and yielding an overnight minimum in the low to mid-50s°F. Dew points near 50°F and minimal cloud cover will limit further drops, while historical September averages near 53°F provide context for the tight market clustering around 52–55°F outcomes. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds keeps adjacent bins competitive, but the absence of incoming fronts or marine pushes supports trader emphasis on the 54–55°F bin as the mode. Updated NWS guidance ahead of the evening hours will refine resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seattle on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on September 16?
54-55°F 35%
64°F or higher 34%
52-53°F 31%
45°F or below 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
45°F or below
29%
46-47°F
8%
48-49°F
9%
50-51°F
14%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
35%
56-57°F
26%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
26%
64°F or higher
34%
54-55°F 35%
64°F or higher 34%
52-53°F 31%
45°F or below 29%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
45°F or below
$0 Wol.
29%
46-47°F
$215 Wol.
8%
48-49°F
$236 Wol.
9%
50-51°F
$0 Wol.
14%
52-53°F
$0 Wol.
31%
54-55°F
$0 Wol.
35%
56-57°F
$44 Wol.
26%
58-59°F
$0 Wol.
19%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
25%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
26%
64°F or higher
$0 Wol.
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NOAA and regional model consensus points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Seattle on September 16, favoring radiational cooling under high pressure and yielding an overnight minimum in the low to mid-50s°F. Dew points near 50°F and minimal cloud cover will limit further drops, while historical September averages near 53°F provide context for the tight market clustering around 52–55°F outcomes. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds keeps adjacent bins competitive, but the absence of incoming fronts or marine pushes supports trader emphasis on the 54–55°F bin as the mode. Updated NWS guidance ahead of the evening hours will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$496Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NOAA and regional model consensus points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Seattle on September 16, favoring radiational cooling under high pressure and yielding an overnight minimum in the low to mid-50s°F. Dew points near 50°F and minimal cloud cover will limit further drops, while historical September averages near 53°F provide context for the tight market clustering around 52–55°F outcomes. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds keeps adjacent bins competitive, but the absence of incoming fronts or marine pushes supports trader emphasis on the 54–55°F bin as the mode. Updated NWS guidance ahead of the evening hours will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$496Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent NOAA and regional model consensus points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Seattle on September 16, favoring radiational cooling under high pressure and yielding an overnight minimum in the low to mid-50s°F. Dew points near 50°F and minimal cloud cover will limit further drops, while historical September averages near 53°F provide context for the tight market clustering around 52–55°F outcomes. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind speeds keeps adjacent bins competitive, but the absence of incoming fronts or marine pushes supports trader emphasis on the 54–55°F bin as the mode. Updated NWS guidance ahead of the evening hours will refine resolution thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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