Forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and GFS runs project an overnight low near 13°C for Paris on September 17, 2026, driven by moderate southwesterly winds, increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, and surface pressures around 29.9–30.0 inches. These conditions align with climatological September averages of roughly 11–12°C while recent observations from the prior evening showed minima holding above 12°C. Trader positioning heavily favors 13°C at 75% implied probability, with 12°C as the main alternative at 22%, reflecting model consensus on minimal further cooling before dawn and the narrow resolution window for official station readings. Upcoming hourly updates from monitoring networks will determine whether any late-night drop shifts the outcome toward the lower probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 17?
13°C 70%
12°C 22%
11°C 15%
10°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
16%
12°C
22%
13°C
74%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 70%
12°C 22%
11°C 15%
10°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
8°C or below
$41 Wol.
1%
9°C
$34 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$321 Wol.
3%
11°C
$909 Wol.
16%
12°C
$971 Wol.
22%
13°C
$1,414 Wol.
74%
14°C
$783 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$55 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$41 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$46 Wol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$41 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and GFS runs project an overnight low near 13°C for Paris on September 17, 2026, driven by moderate southwesterly winds, increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, and surface pressures around 29.9–30.0 inches. These conditions align with climatological September averages of roughly 11–12°C while recent observations from the prior evening showed minima holding above 12°C. Trader positioning heavily favors 13°C at 75% implied probability, with 12°C as the main alternative at 22%, reflecting model consensus on minimal further cooling before dawn and the narrow resolution window for official station readings. Upcoming hourly updates from monitoring networks will determine whether any late-night drop shifts the outcome toward the lower probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,655Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and GFS runs project an overnight low near 13°C for Paris on September 17, 2026, driven by moderate southwesterly winds, increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, and surface pressures around 29.9–30.0 inches. These conditions align with climatological September averages of roughly 11–12°C while recent observations from the prior evening showed minima holding above 12°C. Trader positioning heavily favors 13°C at 75% implied probability, with 12°C as the main alternative at 22%, reflecting model consensus on minimal further cooling before dawn and the narrow resolution window for official station readings. Upcoming hourly updates from monitoring networks will determine whether any late-night drop shifts the outcome toward the lower probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,655Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including Météo-France and GFS runs project an overnight low near 13°C for Paris on September 17, 2026, driven by moderate southwesterly winds, increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling, and surface pressures around 29.9–30.0 inches. These conditions align with climatological September averages of roughly 11–12°C while recent observations from the prior evening showed minima holding above 12°C. Trader positioning heavily favors 13°C at 75% implied probability, with 12°C as the main alternative at 22%, reflecting model consensus on minimal further cooling before dawn and the narrow resolution window for official station readings. Upcoming hourly updates from monitoring networks will determine whether any late-night drop shifts the outcome toward the lower probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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