Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a Saturday overnight low in central New York City between the low and mid-60s Fahrenheit, with northeasterly winds of 8–12 mph and partly to mostly cloudy skies limiting radiational cooling after Friday’s frontal passage. This setup produces the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 60–65 °F bins, as small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed can shift the minimum by a degree or two. Historical September climatology for Central Park shows average lows near 60 °F, so current conditions sit slightly above normal yet remain sensitive to any late-model adjustments in cloud cover or wind before the minimum is reached around dawn on the 19th. Traders are therefore watching the next NWS update and high-resolution model runs for refinements to the exact threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on September 19?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 19?
62-63°F 42%
64-65°F 35%
60-61°F 24%
58-59°F 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
55°F or below
2%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
16%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
42%
64-65°F
35%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
2%
62-63°F 42%
64-65°F 35%
60-61°F 24%
58-59°F 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
55°F or below
$0 Wol.
2%
56-57°F
$0 Wol.
4%
58-59°F
$63 Wol.
16%
60-61°F
$39 Wol.
24%
62-63°F
$9 Wol.
42%
64-65°F
$178 Wol.
35%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
15%
68-69°F
$0 Wol.
6%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
3%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
2%
74°F or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a Saturday overnight low in central New York City between the low and mid-60s Fahrenheit, with northeasterly winds of 8–12 mph and partly to mostly cloudy skies limiting radiational cooling after Friday’s frontal passage. This setup produces the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 60–65 °F bins, as small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed can shift the minimum by a degree or two. Historical September climatology for Central Park shows average lows near 60 °F, so current conditions sit slightly above normal yet remain sensitive to any late-model adjustments in cloud cover or wind before the minimum is reached around dawn on the 19th. Traders are therefore watching the next NWS update and high-resolution model runs for refinements to the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$288Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a Saturday overnight low in central New York City between the low and mid-60s Fahrenheit, with northeasterly winds of 8–12 mph and partly to mostly cloudy skies limiting radiational cooling after Friday’s frontal passage. This setup produces the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 60–65 °F bins, as small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed can shift the minimum by a degree or two. Historical September climatology for Central Park shows average lows near 60 °F, so current conditions sit slightly above normal yet remain sensitive to any late-model adjustments in cloud cover or wind before the minimum is reached around dawn on the 19th. Traders are therefore watching the next NWS update and high-resolution model runs for refinements to the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$288Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance point to a Saturday overnight low in central New York City between the low and mid-60s Fahrenheit, with northeasterly winds of 8–12 mph and partly to mostly cloudy skies limiting radiational cooling after Friday’s frontal passage. This setup produces the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 60–65 °F bins, as small differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed can shift the minimum by a degree or two. Historical September climatology for Central Park shows average lows near 60 °F, so current conditions sit slightly above normal yet remain sensitive to any late-model adjustments in cloud cover or wind before the minimum is reached around dawn on the 19th. Traders are therefore watching the next NWS update and high-resolution model runs for refinements to the exact threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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