Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a daily maximum temperature in Istanbul on September 20 near 24–25°C, driven by stable high pressure, northeasterly winds at 10–15 km/h, and mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. These values sit close to the September climatological average high of roughly 24–25°C, with current observations on September 18 showing similar readings around 23–24°C and no incoming frontal systems or warm advection expected to alter the pattern. Market-implied odds favoring 24°C reflect this model consensus and low forecast spread, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 20?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 20?
24°C 48%
22°C 34%
23°C 34%
26°C 33%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
6%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
48%
25°C
26%
26°C
33%
27°C
7%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 48%
22°C 34%
23°C 34%
26°C 33%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
20°C or below
$96 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Wol.
6%
22°C
$0 Wol.
34%
23°C
$0 Wol.
34%
24°C
$42 Wol.
48%
25°C
$7 Wol.
26%
26°C
$0 Wol.
33%
27°C
$0 Wol.
7%
28°C
$0 Wol.
6%
29°C
$0 Wol.
3%
30°C or higher
$6 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a daily maximum temperature in Istanbul on September 20 near 24–25°C, driven by stable high pressure, northeasterly winds at 10–15 km/h, and mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. These values sit close to the September climatological average high of roughly 24–25°C, with current observations on September 18 showing similar readings around 23–24°C and no incoming frontal systems or warm advection expected to alter the pattern. Market-implied odds favoring 24°C reflect this model consensus and low forecast spread, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$151Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a daily maximum temperature in Istanbul on September 20 near 24–25°C, driven by stable high pressure, northeasterly winds at 10–15 km/h, and mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. These values sit close to the September climatological average high of roughly 24–25°C, with current observations on September 18 showing similar readings around 23–24°C and no incoming frontal systems or warm advection expected to alter the pattern. Market-implied odds favoring 24°C reflect this model consensus and low forecast spread, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$151Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a daily maximum temperature in Istanbul on September 20 near 24–25°C, driven by stable high pressure, northeasterly winds at 10–15 km/h, and mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk. These values sit close to the September climatological average high of roughly 24–25°C, with current observations on September 18 showing similar readings around 23–24°C and no incoming frontal systems or warm advection expected to alter the pattern. Market-implied odds favoring 24°C reflect this model consensus and low forecast spread, though minor shifts in cloud timing or wind could nudge the peak by 1°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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