Clear skies and northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph under a stable high-pressure system are positioning Busan for a daily maximum near 27–28 °C on September 20, 2026. Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and GFS model guidance show afternoon temperatures peaking around 27 °C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with late-September climatology for the region. Recent model runs have converged on this range without significant shifts from upstream steering patterns or marine influences. The 88.5 % market-implied probability on 28 °C reflects trader assessment of these conditions and historical verification margins for official station readings, while lower-probability outcomes account for minor forecast uncertainty in peak timing or localized variations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on September 20?
28°C 94%
29°C 5%
27°C 2.8%
30°C 2%
$34,603 Wol.
$34,603 Wol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
94%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 94%
29°C 5%
27°C 2.8%
30°C 2%
$34,603 Wol.
$34,603 Wol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
94%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph under a stable high-pressure system are positioning Busan for a daily maximum near 27–28 °C on September 20, 2026. Official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and GFS model guidance show afternoon temperatures peaking around 27 °C with minimal cloud cover and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with late-September climatology for the region. Recent model runs have converged on this range without significant shifts from upstream steering patterns or marine influences. The 88.5 % market-implied probability on 28 °C reflects trader assessment of these conditions and historical verification margins for official station readings, while lower-probability outcomes account for minor forecast uncertainty in peak timing or localized variations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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