**Trader consensus at 100% for a 34°C high on September 19 reflects official Meteorological Service Singapore guidance that daily maxima across the second half of September will most often fall in the 33–34°C range, with occasional peaks near 35°C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** Recent observations support this positioning: maximum temperatures exceeded 34°C on 12 days in the first half of the month, reaching 35.3°C at Sembawang on September 9. Afternoon thundery showers, typical during this period, are expected to limit further intensification while still allowing surface heating to the 33–34°C threshold before convection develops. Model consensus and climatological analogs align on this narrow band for the date. A stronger or earlier convective outbreak could cap the high below 34°C, while unusually clear skies or delayed showers represent the main upside risk, though both appear low-probability given current steering patterns and moisture profiles.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Singapore on September 19?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$75,301 Wol.
$75,301 Wol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$75,301 Wol.
$75,301 Wol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 34°C high on September 19 reflects official Meteorological Service Singapore guidance that daily maxima across the second half of September will most often fall in the 33–34°C range, with occasional peaks near 35°C under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions.** Recent observations support this positioning: maximum temperatures exceeded 34°C on 12 days in the first half of the month, reaching 35.3°C at Sembawang on September 9. Afternoon thundery showers, typical during this period, are expected to limit further intensification while still allowing surface heating to the 33–34°C threshold before convection develops. Model consensus and climatological analogs align on this narrow band for the date. A stronger or earlier convective outbreak could cap the high below 34°C, while unusually clear skies or delayed showers represent the main upside risk, though both appear low-probability given current steering patterns and moisture profiles.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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