Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and private models indicate a Tuesday night low in Chicago near 55–58°F under persistent northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. This follows a cool, breezy weekend that established a below-normal air mass across the region. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 56–59°F reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum, driven by small differences in model handling of wind speeds, cloud timing, and urban heat island effects. Historical averages place the date’s typical low at 56°F, providing a baseline traders are weighting against current guidance. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chicago on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Chicago on September 22?
54-55°F 39%
56-57°F 35%
58-59°F 19%
52-53°F 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
47°F or below
5%
48-49°F
7%
50-51°F
11%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
39%
56-57°F
35%
58-59°F
26%
60-61°F
11%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
5%
66°F or higher
5%
54-55°F 39%
56-57°F 35%
58-59°F 19%
52-53°F 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
47°F or below
$0 Wol.
5%
48-49°F
$0 Wol.
7%
50-51°F
$0 Wol.
11%
52-53°F
$0 Wol.
18%
54-55°F
$0 Wol.
39%
56-57°F
$0 Wol.
35%
58-59°F
$14 Wol.
26%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
11%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
7%
64-65°F
$0 Wol.
5%
66°F or higher
$0 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and private models indicate a Tuesday night low in Chicago near 55–58°F under persistent northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. This follows a cool, breezy weekend that established a below-normal air mass across the region. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 56–59°F reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum, driven by small differences in model handling of wind speeds, cloud timing, and urban heat island effects. Historical averages place the date’s typical low at 56°F, providing a baseline traders are weighting against current guidance. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$14Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and private models indicate a Tuesday night low in Chicago near 55–58°F under persistent northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. This follows a cool, breezy weekend that established a below-normal air mass across the region. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 56–59°F reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum, driven by small differences in model handling of wind speeds, cloud timing, and urban heat island effects. Historical averages place the date’s typical low at 56°F, providing a baseline traders are weighting against current guidance. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the National Weather Service and private models indicate a Tuesday night low in Chicago near 55–58°F under persistent northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. This follows a cool, breezy weekend that established a below-normal air mass across the region. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 56–59°F reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum, driven by small differences in model handling of wind speeds, cloud timing, and urban heat island effects. Historical averages place the date’s typical low at 56°F, providing a baseline traders are weighting against current guidance. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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