Market-implied odds heavily favor a 27°C peak in Milan on September 20, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models that project daytime maxima near this threshold under stable high pressure. Light southwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and clear radiative heating during peak insolation support modest warming without strong advection or convective cooling. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 26–28°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September in the Po Valley, where historical averages hover near 24–26°C. Traders appear to weigh the low probability of outliers given the short forecast horizon and minimal expected variability in boundary-layer conditions ahead of the next synoptic update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on September 20?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 20?
27°C 63%
26°C 21%
28°C 13%
25°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
21%
27°C
63%
28°C
13%
29°C or higher
2%
27°C 63%
26°C 21%
28°C 13%
25°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
19°C or below
$1,221 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$30 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$30 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$30 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$45 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$88 Wol.
1%
25°C
$122 Wol.
3%
26°C
$743 Wol.
21%
27°C
$1,266 Wol.
63%
28°C
$364 Wol.
13%
29°C or higher
$132 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds heavily favor a 27°C peak in Milan on September 20, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models that project daytime maxima near this threshold under stable high pressure. Light southwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and clear radiative heating during peak insolation support modest warming without strong advection or convective cooling. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 26–28°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September in the Po Valley, where historical averages hover near 24–26°C. Traders appear to weigh the low probability of outliers given the short forecast horizon and minimal expected variability in boundary-layer conditions ahead of the next synoptic update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,071Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds heavily favor a 27°C peak in Milan on September 20, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models that project daytime maxima near this threshold under stable high pressure. Light southwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and clear radiative heating during peak insolation support modest warming without strong advection or convective cooling. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 26–28°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September in the Po Valley, where historical averages hover near 24–26°C. Traders appear to weigh the low probability of outliers given the short forecast horizon and minimal expected variability in boundary-layer conditions ahead of the next synoptic update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,071Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds heavily favor a 27°C peak in Milan on September 20, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models that project daytime maxima near this threshold under stable high pressure. Light southwesterly winds, partial cloud cover, and clear radiative heating during peak insolation support modest warming without strong advection or convective cooling. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 26–28°C, consistent with climatological norms for late September in the Po Valley, where historical averages hover near 24–26°C. Traders appear to weigh the low probability of outliers given the short forecast horizon and minimal expected variability in boundary-layer conditions ahead of the next synoptic update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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