**Forecast models point to overnight lows in the upper teens Celsius for Milan on September 20, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure promoting steady radiative cooling after a warm daytime peak near 27°C.** Seasonal Po Valley conditions and the absence of frontal systems or significant cloud cover limit deeper cooling, keeping the minimum around 17–19°C according to GFS and ECMWF guidance. Subtle differences in model runs—such as minor variations in boundary-layer humidity, exact wind speeds under 5 km/h, or thin high cloud—account for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14–16°C bins. These factors create the narrow uncertainty band traders are pricing, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded by official stations before sunrise.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Milan on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Milan on September 20?
13°C 93%
10°C or below 87%
14°C 49%
15°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
10°C or below
87%
11°C
17%
12°C
17%
13°C
93%
14°C
49%
15°C
49%
16°C
49%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
13°C 93%
10°C or below 87%
14°C 49%
15°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Wol.
87%
11°C
$0 Wol.
17%
12°C
$0 Wol.
17%
13°C
$0 Wol.
93%
14°C
$0 Wol.
49%
15°C
$0 Wol.
49%
16°C
$0 Wol.
49%
17°C
$1,296 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$1,000 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$37 Wol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$37 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models point to overnight lows in the upper teens Celsius for Milan on September 20, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure promoting steady radiative cooling after a warm daytime peak near 27°C.**
Seasonal Po Valley conditions and the absence of frontal systems or significant cloud cover limit deeper cooling, keeping the minimum around 17–19°C according to GFS and ECMWF guidance. Subtle differences in model runs—such as minor variations in boundary-layer humidity, exact wind speeds under 5 km/h, or thin high cloud—account for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14–16°C bins. These factors create the narrow uncertainty band traders are pricing, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded by official stations before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,370Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models point to overnight lows in the upper teens Celsius for Milan on September 20, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure promoting steady radiative cooling after a warm daytime peak near 27°C.**
Seasonal Po Valley conditions and the absence of frontal systems or significant cloud cover limit deeper cooling, keeping the minimum around 17–19°C according to GFS and ECMWF guidance. Subtle differences in model runs—such as minor variations in boundary-layer humidity, exact wind speeds under 5 km/h, or thin high cloud—account for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14–16°C bins. These factors create the narrow uncertainty band traders are pricing, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded by official stations before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,370Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models point to overnight lows in the upper teens Celsius for Milan on September 20, driven by clear skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure promoting steady radiative cooling after a warm daytime peak near 27°C.** Seasonal Po Valley conditions and the absence of frontal systems or significant cloud cover limit deeper cooling, keeping the minimum around 17–19°C according to GFS and ECMWF guidance. Subtle differences in model runs—such as minor variations in boundary-layer humidity, exact wind speeds under 5 km/h, or thin high cloud—account for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 14–16°C bins. These factors create the narrow uncertainty band traders are pricing, with resolution hinging on the precise minimum recorded by official stations before sunrise.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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