Current official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 16°C for Toronto on September 21 under northeast winds of 20 km/h and a mix of sun and cloud that clears later in the day, while other models range from 14–17°C. This tight clustering around 15–16°C reflects modest uncertainty in afternoon clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing over Lake Ontario, which moderates temperatures through cool advection from higher latitudes. Seasonal norms near 21°C underscore the influence of early-autumn synoptic patterns, with low precipitation risk and stable high pressure limiting upward temperature spikes. Traders appear to weigh the authoritative 16°C guidance against ensemble spread and potential for slight under- or over-achievement depending on exact insolation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on September 21?
15°C 42%
16°C 39%
14°C 13%
17°C 9%
$10,460 Wol.
$10,460 Wol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
13%
15°C
42%
16°C
39%
17°C
9%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
15°C 42%
16°C 39%
14°C 13%
17°C 9%
$10,460 Wol.
$10,460 Wol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
13%
15°C
42%
16°C
39%
17°C
9%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 16°C for Toronto on September 21 under northeast winds of 20 km/h and a mix of sun and cloud that clears later in the day, while other models range from 14–17°C. This tight clustering around 15–16°C reflects modest uncertainty in afternoon clearing timing and boundary-layer mixing over Lake Ontario, which moderates temperatures through cool advection from higher latitudes. Seasonal norms near 21°C underscore the influence of early-autumn synoptic patterns, with low precipitation risk and stable high pressure limiting upward temperature spikes. Traders appear to weigh the authoritative 16°C guidance against ensemble spread and potential for slight under- or over-achievement depending on exact insolation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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