Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 6–8°C in Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by a southwest cold front that cleared skies after Sunday storms and advected cooler, drier air. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clear conditions overnight could push readings toward the lower end of this range, while lingering cloud cover or a slight wind shift might limit the drop. This genuine model uncertainty around the precise minimum—between potential sub-5°C radiative lows and milder 9–10°C outcomes—explains the near-even market odds between 1°C or below and 11°C or higher, as traders weigh the latest GFS, ECMWF, and local SMN guidance ahead of final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 22?
11°C or higher 94%
1°C or below 93%
3°C 40%
2°C 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
1°C or below
93%
2°C
38%
3°C
40%
4°C
22%
5°C
22%
6°C
21%
7°C
38%
8°C
38%
9°C
38%
10°C
38%
11°C or higher
94%
11°C or higher 94%
1°C or below 93%
3°C 40%
2°C 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
1°C or below
$0 Wol.
93%
2°C
$0 Wol.
38%
3°C
$0 Wol.
40%
4°C
$0 Wol.
22%
5°C
$0 Wol.
22%
6°C
$0 Wol.
21%
7°C
$0 Wol.
38%
8°C
$0 Wol.
38%
9°C
$0 Wol.
38%
10°C
$0 Wol.
38%
11°C or higher
$0 Wol.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 6–8°C in Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by a southwest cold front that cleared skies after Sunday storms and advected cooler, drier air. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clear conditions overnight could push readings toward the lower end of this range, while lingering cloud cover or a slight wind shift might limit the drop. This genuine model uncertainty around the precise minimum—between potential sub-5°C radiative lows and milder 9–10°C outcomes—explains the near-even market odds between 1°C or below and 11°C or higher, as traders weigh the latest GFS, ECMWF, and local SMN guidance ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 6–8°C in Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by a southwest cold front that cleared skies after Sunday storms and advected cooler, drier air. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clear conditions overnight could push readings toward the lower end of this range, while lingering cloud cover or a slight wind shift might limit the drop. This genuine model uncertainty around the precise minimum—between potential sub-5°C radiative lows and milder 9–10°C outcomes—explains the near-even market odds between 1°C or below and 11°C or higher, as traders weigh the latest GFS, ECMWF, and local SMN guidance ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate a minimum temperature near 6–8°C in Buenos Aires on September 22, driven by a southwest cold front that cleared skies after Sunday storms and advected cooler, drier air. Radiative cooling under partly cloudy to clear conditions overnight could push readings toward the lower end of this range, while lingering cloud cover or a slight wind shift might limit the drop. This genuine model uncertainty around the precise minimum—between potential sub-5°C radiative lows and milder 9–10°C outcomes—explains the near-even market odds between 1°C or below and 11°C or higher, as traders weigh the latest GFS, ECMWF, and local SMN guidance ahead of final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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