Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Met Office and regional ensembles show São Paulo's maximum temperature on September 21 most likely reaching 29–32 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those bins. Northerly winds are expected to advect warmer air while increasing cloud cover and isolated showers may cap afternoon peaks, introducing the primary uncertainty. September climatology places average highs near 23–24 °C, but this year's spring transition has featured variable blocking patterns that have already produced brief warm spells. Model spread remains notable because small shifts in timing of cloud build-up or wind direction can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Overnight updates from high-resolution runs will be the next key input before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 21?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 21?
31°C 35%
29°C 24%
30°C 24%
32°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
27°C or below
6%
28°C
6%
29°C
24%
30°C
24%
31°C
35%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
29°C 24%
30°C 24%
32°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
27°C or below
$271 Wol.
6%
28°C
$217 Wol.
6%
29°C
$234 Wol.
24%
30°C
$133 Wol.
24%
31°C
$1,766 Wol.
35%
32°C
$553 Wol.
14%
33°C
$0 Wol.
2%
34°C
$102 Wol.
1%
35°C
$31 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$111 Wol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$50 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Met Office and regional ensembles show São Paulo's maximum temperature on September 21 most likely reaching 29–32 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those bins. Northerly winds are expected to advect warmer air while increasing cloud cover and isolated showers may cap afternoon peaks, introducing the primary uncertainty. September climatology places average highs near 23–24 °C, but this year's spring transition has featured variable blocking patterns that have already produced brief warm spells. Model spread remains notable because small shifts in timing of cloud build-up or wind direction can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Overnight updates from high-resolution runs will be the next key input before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,468Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Met Office and regional ensembles show São Paulo's maximum temperature on September 21 most likely reaching 29–32 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those bins. Northerly winds are expected to advect warmer air while increasing cloud cover and isolated showers may cap afternoon peaks, introducing the primary uncertainty. September climatology places average highs near 23–24 °C, but this year's spring transition has featured variable blocking patterns that have already produced brief warm spells. Model spread remains notable because small shifts in timing of cloud build-up or wind direction can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Overnight updates from high-resolution runs will be the next key input before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,468Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the Met Office and regional ensembles show São Paulo's maximum temperature on September 21 most likely reaching 29–32 °C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those bins. Northerly winds are expected to advect warmer air while increasing cloud cover and isolated showers may cap afternoon peaks, introducing the primary uncertainty. September climatology places average highs near 23–24 °C, but this year's spring transition has featured variable blocking patterns that have already produced brief warm spells. Model spread remains notable because small shifts in timing of cloud build-up or wind direction can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Overnight updates from high-resolution runs will be the next key input before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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