**Trader consensus for a 16–17°C high in Wellington on September 19 centers on current model guidance showing a maximum near 15–16°C under breezy northwesterly flow.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as GFS, WeatherBug, and MetService-aligned outputs indicate daytime peaks of 15–16°C (59–61°F) on Saturday, with afternoon readings reaching that range amid partly cloudy skies and winds of 20–25 knots. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where September averages hover around 12–13°C but recent days have trended 1–2°C above normal. Stronger northwesterlies may enhance mixing and slight warming, yet low precipitation risk and no strong frontal passage limit upside potential beyond 17°C. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on September 19?
16°C 58%
17°C 38%
15°C 6%
14°C 2%
$15,759 Wol.
$15,759 Wol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
58%
17°C
38%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 58%
17°C 38%
15°C 6%
14°C 2%
$15,759 Wol.
$15,759 Wol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
58%
17°C
38%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for a 16–17°C high in Wellington on September 19 centers on current model guidance showing a maximum near 15–16°C under breezy northwesterly flow.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as GFS, WeatherBug, and MetService-aligned outputs indicate daytime peaks of 15–16°C (59–61°F) on Saturday, with afternoon readings reaching that range amid partly cloudy skies and winds of 20–25 knots. This aligns with early-spring climatology, where September averages hover around 12–13°C but recent days have trended 1–2°C above normal. Stronger northwesterlies may enhance mixing and slight warming, yet low precipitation risk and no strong frontal passage limit upside potential beyond 17°C. Updated model runs overnight and morning observations will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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