Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over South China are the main factors capping Guangzhou's September 21 peak temperature near 34–36 °C, with official guidance from regional meteorological centers showing highs of 32–35 °C amid 60–80 % rain probability. Variable timing of convective activity and northeast flow can either enhance evaporative cooling or allow brief clear spells that push readings toward 36–37 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds for 35 °C and 36 °C. Historical September maxima average 31.5–32 °C, with occasional Indian-summer spikes above 35 °C when subsidence dominates; updated model runs tonight will clarify whether stronger rain bands or clearer intervals shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 21?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 21?
36°C 32%
35°C 29%
37°C or higher 16%
34°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
5%
34°C
16%
35°C
29%
36°C
32%
37°C or higher
16%
36°C 32%
35°C 29%
37°C or higher 16%
34°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
27°C or below
$267 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$111 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$111 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$392 Wol.
1%
31°C
$11 Wol.
1%
32°C
$104 Wol.
3%
33°C
$62 Wol.
5%
34°C
$853 Wol.
16%
35°C
$372 Wol.
29%
36°C
$388 Wol.
32%
37°C or higher
$1,084 Wol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over South China are the main factors capping Guangzhou's September 21 peak temperature near 34–36 °C, with official guidance from regional meteorological centers showing highs of 32–35 °C amid 60–80 % rain probability. Variable timing of convective activity and northeast flow can either enhance evaporative cooling or allow brief clear spells that push readings toward 36–37 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds for 35 °C and 36 °C. Historical September maxima average 31.5–32 °C, with occasional Indian-summer spikes above 35 °C when subsidence dominates; updated model runs tonight will clarify whether stronger rain bands or clearer intervals shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,747Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over South China are the main factors capping Guangzhou's September 21 peak temperature near 34–36 °C, with official guidance from regional meteorological centers showing highs of 32–35 °C amid 60–80 % rain probability. Variable timing of convective activity and northeast flow can either enhance evaporative cooling or allow brief clear spells that push readings toward 36–37 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds for 35 °C and 36 °C. Historical September maxima average 31.5–32 °C, with occasional Indian-summer spikes above 35 °C when subsidence dominates; updated model runs tonight will clarify whether stronger rain bands or clearer intervals shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,747Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon-driven cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over South China are the main factors capping Guangzhou's September 21 peak temperature near 34–36 °C, with official guidance from regional meteorological centers showing highs of 32–35 °C amid 60–80 % rain probability. Variable timing of convective activity and northeast flow can either enhance evaporative cooling or allow brief clear spells that push readings toward 36–37 °C, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds for 35 °C and 36 °C. Historical September maxima average 31.5–32 °C, with occasional Indian-summer spikes above 35 °C when subsidence dominates; updated model runs tonight will clarify whether stronger rain bands or clearer intervals shift the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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