Trader consensus positions 26–27°C as the leading outcomes for Shenzhen’s minimum temperature on September 22, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models that show overnight lows clustering in this narrow band. Late-September climatology for the Pearl River Delta typically features minimums of 25–28°C amid weakening monsoon flow and stable subtropical high pressure, with urban heat-island effects adding slight warmth. Current atmospheric conditions—light winds, clear skies, and limited moisture advection—support these readings, while model spread remains modest. Updated model runs and official guidance issued overnight will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 22?
27°C 44%
22°C or below 44%
32°C or higher 44%
28°C 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
44%
23°C
17%
24°C
25%
25°C
35%
26°C
29%
27°C
44%
28°C
38%
29°C
3%
30°C
14%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
44%
27°C 44%
22°C or below 44%
32°C or higher 44%
28°C 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Wol.
44%
23°C
$0 Wol.
17%
24°C
$0 Wol.
25%
25°C
$0 Wol.
35%
26°C
$0 Wol.
29%
27°C
$10 Wol.
44%
28°C
$0 Wol.
38%
29°C
$0 Wol.
3%
30°C
$0 Wol.
14%
31°C
$0 Wol.
13%
32°C or higher
$0 Wol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus positions 26–27°C as the leading outcomes for Shenzhen’s minimum temperature on September 22, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models that show overnight lows clustering in this narrow band. Late-September climatology for the Pearl River Delta typically features minimums of 25–28°C amid weakening monsoon flow and stable subtropical high pressure, with urban heat-island effects adding slight warmth. Current atmospheric conditions—light winds, clear skies, and limited moisture advection—support these readings, while model spread remains modest. Updated model runs and official guidance issued overnight will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$10Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus positions 26–27°C as the leading outcomes for Shenzhen’s minimum temperature on September 22, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models that show overnight lows clustering in this narrow band. Late-September climatology for the Pearl River Delta typically features minimums of 25–28°C amid weakening monsoon flow and stable subtropical high pressure, with urban heat-island effects adding slight warmth. Current atmospheric conditions—light winds, clear skies, and limited moisture advection—support these readings, while model spread remains modest. Updated model runs and official guidance issued overnight will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus positions 26–27°C as the leading outcomes for Shenzhen’s minimum temperature on September 22, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models that show overnight lows clustering in this narrow band. Late-September climatology for the Pearl River Delta typically features minimums of 25–28°C amid weakening monsoon flow and stable subtropical high pressure, with urban heat-island effects adding slight warmth. Current atmospheric conditions—light winds, clear skies, and limited moisture advection—support these readings, while model spread remains modest. Updated model runs and official guidance issued overnight will provide the final inputs before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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