Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity limiting radiational cooling. Thunderstorm activity expected during the day could enhance cloud cover overnight, reducing temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while typical September climatology shows average lows around 24°C without strong frontal passages. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between cooler and warmer bins because model runs show minor sensitivity to exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, with new observational data and updated guidance from Chinese meteorological centers likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 21?
22°C or below 89%
32°C or higher 88%
25°C 37%
28°C 33%
22°C or below
89%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
37%
26°C
27%
27°C
31%
28°C
33%
29°C
3%
30°C
14%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
88%
22°C or below 89%
32°C or higher 88%
25°C 37%
28°C 33%
22°C or below
89%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
37%
26°C
27%
27°C
31%
28°C
33%
29°C
3%
30°C
14%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from regional meteorological agencies indicate Shenzhen's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity limiting radiational cooling. Thunderstorm activity expected during the day could enhance cloud cover overnight, reducing temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while typical September climatology shows average lows around 24°C without strong frontal passages. Trader sentiment remains closely balanced between cooler and warmer bins because model runs show minor sensitivity to exact rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, with new observational data and updated guidance from Chinese meteorological centers likely to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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