Trader sentiment centers on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official 27–31°C range for September 21, with 31°C holding the highest implied probability amid ensemble spreads. Persistent cloud cover, isolated showers, and thunderstorms driven by upper-air disturbances are expected to reduce solar insolation relative to the clearer, hotter conditions on September 20, while light northeast winds limit advection of warmer air. Sea-surface temperatures near 27°C and high humidity further moderate peaks. Model consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C, but small differences in convective timing or cloud breaks could shift the observed maximum at official stations, leaving genuine forecast uncertainty until updated guidance and overnight observations arrive.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 21?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 21?
31°C 36%
30°C 25%
32°C 22%
29°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
11%
30°C
25%
31°C
36%
32°C
22%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 25%
32°C 22%
29°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
25°C or below
$135 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$125 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$485 Wol.
1%
28°C
$262 Wol.
4%
29°C
$314 Wol.
11%
30°C
$1,022 Wol.
25%
31°C
$257 Wol.
36%
32°C
$566 Wol.
22%
33°C
$180 Wol.
8%
34°C
$345 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$200 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment centers on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official 27–31°C range for September 21, with 31°C holding the highest implied probability amid ensemble spreads. Persistent cloud cover, isolated showers, and thunderstorms driven by upper-air disturbances are expected to reduce solar insolation relative to the clearer, hotter conditions on September 20, while light northeast winds limit advection of warmer air. Sea-surface temperatures near 27°C and high humidity further moderate peaks. Model consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C, but small differences in convective timing or cloud breaks could shift the observed maximum at official stations, leaving genuine forecast uncertainty until updated guidance and overnight observations arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,885Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment centers on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official 27–31°C range for September 21, with 31°C holding the highest implied probability amid ensemble spreads. Persistent cloud cover, isolated showers, and thunderstorms driven by upper-air disturbances are expected to reduce solar insolation relative to the clearer, hotter conditions on September 20, while light northeast winds limit advection of warmer air. Sea-surface temperatures near 27°C and high humidity further moderate peaks. Model consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C, but small differences in convective timing or cloud breaks could shift the observed maximum at official stations, leaving genuine forecast uncertainty until updated guidance and overnight observations arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$3,885Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on the Hong Kong Observatory’s official 27–31°C range for September 21, with 31°C holding the highest implied probability amid ensemble spreads. Persistent cloud cover, isolated showers, and thunderstorms driven by upper-air disturbances are expected to reduce solar insolation relative to the clearer, hotter conditions on September 20, while light northeast winds limit advection of warmer air. Sea-surface temperatures near 27°C and high humidity further moderate peaks. Model consensus clusters tightly around 30–32°C, but small differences in convective timing or cloud breaks could shift the observed maximum at official stations, leaving genuine forecast uncertainty until updated guidance and overnight observations arrive.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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