Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 18°C in Moscow on September 23 under persistent cloud cover, showers, and light easterly to southeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the market's tight clustering around 18°C and 19°C outcomes, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation typically cap highs 3–5°C below seasonal norms of about 14°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind shifts could push readings to 16°C or 20°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds for this short-range temperature market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on September 23?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 23?
21°C 39%
22°C 33%
18°C 28%
19°C 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
13°C or below
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
8%
16°C
21%
17°C
19%
18°C
28%
19°C
23%
20°C
16%
21°C
39%
22°C
33%
23°C or higher
2%
21°C 39%
22°C 33%
18°C 28%
19°C 23%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
13°C or below
$5 Wol.
4%
14°C
$5 Wol.
4%
15°C
$5 Wol.
8%
16°C
$5 Wol.
21%
17°C
$5 Wol.
19%
18°C
$5 Wol.
28%
19°C
$5 Wol.
23%
20°C
$5 Wol.
16%
21°C
$5 Wol.
39%
22°C
$5 Wol.
33%
23°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 18°C in Moscow on September 23 under persistent cloud cover, showers, and light easterly to southeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the market's tight clustering around 18°C and 19°C outcomes, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation typically cap highs 3–5°C below seasonal norms of about 14°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind shifts could push readings to 16°C or 20°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds for this short-range temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$55Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 18°C in Moscow on September 23 under persistent cloud cover, showers, and light easterly to southeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the market's tight clustering around 18°C and 19°C outcomes, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation typically cap highs 3–5°C below seasonal norms of about 14°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind shifts could push readings to 16°C or 20°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds for this short-range temperature market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$55Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 18°C in Moscow on September 23 under persistent cloud cover, showers, and light easterly to southeasterly winds that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the market's tight clustering around 18°C and 19°C outcomes, as reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling from precipitation typically cap highs 3–5°C below seasonal norms of about 14°C. Model consensus shows limited warming potential, though slight variations in cloud timing or wind shifts could push readings to 16°C or 20°C. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will clarify resolution thresholds for this short-range temperature market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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