Recent model runs for Chongqing show persistent light rain and extensive cloud cover on September 23, limiting solar heating and producing forecast highs clustered between 24–30 °C. Numerical guidance diverges on the timing and intensity of showers: some ECMWF and GFS solutions allow brief afternoon breaks that could push maxima toward 29–30 °C, while others maintain steady stratiform rain that caps readings near 24–26 °C. High boundary-layer moisture typical of the Sichuan basin in late September further compresses the diurnal range, keeping overnight lows near 22 °C. Traders have therefore assigned roughly equal implied probabilities across the 24–30 °C band, reflecting genuine uncertainty ahead of the next high-resolution model cycle and any updated China Meteorological Administration guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 23?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 23?
30°C or higher 48%
25°C 33%
26°C 33%
27°C 33%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
11%
23°C
16%
24°C
23%
25°C
33%
26°C
33%
27°C
33%
28°C
28%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
48%
30°C or higher 48%
25°C 33%
26°C 33%
27°C 33%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
20°C or below
$28 Wol.
2%
21°C
$17 Wol.
9%
22°C
$10 Wol.
11%
23°C
$47 Wol.
16%
24°C
$17 Wol.
23%
25°C
$5 Wol.
33%
26°C
$5 Wol.
33%
27°C
$5 Wol.
33%
28°C
$5 Wol.
28%
29°C
$5 Wol.
17%
30°C or higher
$5 Wol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs for Chongqing show persistent light rain and extensive cloud cover on September 23, limiting solar heating and producing forecast highs clustered between 24–30 °C. Numerical guidance diverges on the timing and intensity of showers: some ECMWF and GFS solutions allow brief afternoon breaks that could push maxima toward 29–30 °C, while others maintain steady stratiform rain that caps readings near 24–26 °C. High boundary-layer moisture typical of the Sichuan basin in late September further compresses the diurnal range, keeping overnight lows near 22 °C. Traders have therefore assigned roughly equal implied probabilities across the 24–30 °C band, reflecting genuine uncertainty ahead of the next high-resolution model cycle and any updated China Meteorological Administration guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$149Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs for Chongqing show persistent light rain and extensive cloud cover on September 23, limiting solar heating and producing forecast highs clustered between 24–30 °C. Numerical guidance diverges on the timing and intensity of showers: some ECMWF and GFS solutions allow brief afternoon breaks that could push maxima toward 29–30 °C, while others maintain steady stratiform rain that caps readings near 24–26 °C. High boundary-layer moisture typical of the Sichuan basin in late September further compresses the diurnal range, keeping overnight lows near 22 °C. Traders have therefore assigned roughly equal implied probabilities across the 24–30 °C band, reflecting genuine uncertainty ahead of the next high-resolution model cycle and any updated China Meteorological Administration guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$149Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs for Chongqing show persistent light rain and extensive cloud cover on September 23, limiting solar heating and producing forecast highs clustered between 24–30 °C. Numerical guidance diverges on the timing and intensity of showers: some ECMWF and GFS solutions allow brief afternoon breaks that could push maxima toward 29–30 °C, while others maintain steady stratiform rain that caps readings near 24–26 °C. High boundary-layer moisture typical of the Sichuan basin in late September further compresses the diurnal range, keeping overnight lows near 22 °C. Traders have therefore assigned roughly equal implied probabilities across the 24–30 °C band, reflecting genuine uncertainty ahead of the next high-resolution model cycle and any updated China Meteorological Administration guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania