Recent meteorological forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, on September 21, 2026, show strong model consensus for a daytime high near 15°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds. This aligns with the market's leading 65% implied probability for 15°C and 26.5% for 16°C. The projected maximum sits modestly above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5–14°C, supported by mild northerly flow that can advect warmer air into the region. Official guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and ensemble runs from GFS and ACCESS-G indicate limited potential for significant warming or cooling, with low precipitation risk and steady winds moderating temperature extremes. Updated model outputs closer to the observation window will determine whether readings reach 16°C or remain at 14°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on September 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 21?
15°C 65%
16°C 27%
14°C 9%
17°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
65%
16°C
27%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 65%
16°C 27%
14°C 9%
17°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
$780 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$284 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$58 Wol.
1%
13°C
$319 Wol.
1%
14°C
$1,194 Wol.
9%
15°C
$3,556 Wol.
65%
16°C
$1,156 Wol.
27%
17°C
$218 Wol.
3%
18°C
$124 Wol.
1%
19°C
$338 Wol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$462 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, on September 21, 2026, show strong model consensus for a daytime high near 15°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds. This aligns with the market's leading 65% implied probability for 15°C and 26.5% for 16°C. The projected maximum sits modestly above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5–14°C, supported by mild northerly flow that can advect warmer air into the region. Official guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and ensemble runs from GFS and ACCESS-G indicate limited potential for significant warming or cooling, with low precipitation risk and steady winds moderating temperature extremes. Updated model outputs closer to the observation window will determine whether readings reach 16°C or remain at 14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,491Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, on September 21, 2026, show strong model consensus for a daytime high near 15°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds. This aligns with the market's leading 65% implied probability for 15°C and 26.5% for 16°C. The projected maximum sits modestly above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5–14°C, supported by mild northerly flow that can advect warmer air into the region. Official guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and ensemble runs from GFS and ACCESS-G indicate limited potential for significant warming or cooling, with low precipitation risk and steady winds moderating temperature extremes. Updated model outputs closer to the observation window will determine whether readings reach 16°C or remain at 14°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,491Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Wellington, New Zealand, on September 21, 2026, show strong model consensus for a daytime high near 15°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds. This aligns with the market's leading 65% implied probability for 15°C and 26.5% for 16°C. The projected maximum sits modestly above the September climatological average of roughly 12.5–14°C, supported by mild northerly flow that can advect warmer air into the region. Official guidance from agencies such as the Met Office and ensemble runs from GFS and ACCESS-G indicate limited potential for significant warming or cooling, with low precipitation risk and steady winds moderating temperature extremes. Updated model outputs closer to the observation window will determine whether readings reach 16°C or remain at 14°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania