Recent forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international agencies show Wellington facing a southerly change on September 22 with likely rain and brisk winds, producing overnight lows near 6–7°C after a mild daytime peak around 13–14°C. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the daily minimum because small shifts in frontal timing or wind backing can easily push readings below 5°C or hold them near 8°C. Historical September climatology for the region centers on 8–10°C minima, yet the current pattern deviates with stronger-than-average pressure gradients that enhance mixing and cooling. Traders price the near-even split between sub-4°C and 14°C+ outcomes as reflecting this forecast sensitivity, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at the official Wellington station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wellington on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 22?
8°C 39%
7°C 38%
6°C 19%
9°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
4°C or below
7%
5°C
11%
6°C
19%
7°C
38%
8°C
39%
9°C
19%
10°C
11%
11°C
7%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C or higher
2%
8°C 39%
7°C 38%
6°C 19%
9°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 22, 2026
4°C or below
$0 Wol.
7%
5°C
$0 Wol.
11%
6°C
$0 Wol.
19%
7°C
$0 Wol.
38%
8°C
$0 Wol.
39%
9°C
$0 Wol.
19%
10°C
$0 Wol.
11%
11°C
$0 Wol.
7%
12°C
$0 Wol.
2%
13°C
$0 Wol.
2%
14°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international agencies show Wellington facing a southerly change on September 22 with likely rain and brisk winds, producing overnight lows near 6–7°C after a mild daytime peak around 13–14°C. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the daily minimum because small shifts in frontal timing or wind backing can easily push readings below 5°C or hold them near 8°C. Historical September climatology for the region centers on 8–10°C minima, yet the current pattern deviates with stronger-than-average pressure gradients that enhance mixing and cooling. Traders price the near-even split between sub-4°C and 14°C+ outcomes as reflecting this forecast sensitivity, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at the official Wellington station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international agencies show Wellington facing a southerly change on September 22 with likely rain and brisk winds, producing overnight lows near 6–7°C after a mild daytime peak around 13–14°C. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the daily minimum because small shifts in frontal timing or wind backing can easily push readings below 5°C or hold them near 8°C. Historical September climatology for the region centers on 8–10°C minima, yet the current pattern deviates with stronger-than-average pressure gradients that enhance mixing and cooling. Traders price the near-even split between sub-4°C and 14°C+ outcomes as reflecting this forecast sensitivity, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at the official Wellington station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international agencies show Wellington facing a southerly change on September 22 with likely rain and brisk winds, producing overnight lows near 6–7°C after a mild daytime peak around 13–14°C. This setup creates tight uncertainty around the daily minimum because small shifts in frontal timing or wind backing can easily push readings below 5°C or hold them near 8°C. Historical September climatology for the region centers on 8–10°C minima, yet the current pattern deviates with stronger-than-average pressure gradients that enhance mixing and cooling. Traders price the near-even split between sub-4°C and 14°C+ outcomes as reflecting this forecast sensitivity, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at the official Wellington station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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