Recent forecasts from multiple models show Guangzhou highs moderating to around 32–33°C on September 23 amid increased cloud cover and a 60–75% chance of showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the seasonal decline from peak summer values near 32°C. This pattern, driven by enhanced moisture advection and reduced insolation under subtropical monsoon influences, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 32°C and 35°C. Key variables include the precise timing of precipitation, which can suppress peak heating by several degrees, versus any afternoon clearing that would allow stronger solar radiation and slightly higher readings closer to historical extremes for the date. Updated model runs and official agency briefings remain the main near-term catalysts for shifts in trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 23?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 23?
31°C 34%
33°C 22%
34°C 22%
32°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
16%
31°C
34%
32°C
19%
33°C
22%
34°C
22%
35°C
19%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
15%
31°C 34%
33°C 22%
34°C 22%
32°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 23, 2026
27°C or below
$5 Wol.
1%
28°C
$5 Wol.
3%
29°C
$5 Wol.
4%
30°C
$0 Wol.
16%
31°C
$0 Wol.
34%
32°C
$0 Wol.
19%
33°C
$0 Wol.
22%
34°C
$0 Wol.
22%
35°C
$5 Wol.
19%
36°C
$315 Wol.
2%
37°C or higher
$13 Wol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Guangzhou highs moderating to around 32–33°C on September 23 amid increased cloud cover and a 60–75% chance of showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the seasonal decline from peak summer values near 32°C. This pattern, driven by enhanced moisture advection and reduced insolation under subtropical monsoon influences, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 32°C and 35°C. Key variables include the precise timing of precipitation, which can suppress peak heating by several degrees, versus any afternoon clearing that would allow stronger solar radiation and slightly higher readings closer to historical extremes for the date. Updated model runs and official agency briefings remain the main near-term catalysts for shifts in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$348Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models show Guangzhou highs moderating to around 32–33°C on September 23 amid increased cloud cover and a 60–75% chance of showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the seasonal decline from peak summer values near 32°C. This pattern, driven by enhanced moisture advection and reduced insolation under subtropical monsoon influences, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 32°C and 35°C. Key variables include the precise timing of precipitation, which can suppress peak heating by several degrees, versus any afternoon clearing that would allow stronger solar radiation and slightly higher readings closer to historical extremes for the date. Updated model runs and official agency briefings remain the main near-term catalysts for shifts in trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$348Data zakończenia
Sep 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models show Guangzhou highs moderating to around 32–33°C on September 23 amid increased cloud cover and a 60–75% chance of showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the seasonal decline from peak summer values near 32°C. This pattern, driven by enhanced moisture advection and reduced insolation under subtropical monsoon influences, supports the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 32°C and 35°C. Key variables include the precise timing of precipitation, which can suppress peak heating by several degrees, versus any afternoon clearing that would allow stronger solar radiation and slightly higher readings closer to historical extremes for the date. Updated model runs and official agency briefings remain the main near-term catalysts for shifts in trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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