Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models projects a high of 29°C in Shanghai on September 21 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 55% implied probability. Stable late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and no significant frontal systems or tropical moisture intrusions support temperatures clustered between 28–30°C, consistent with historical early-autumn baselines near 28–29°C. Minor model spread around 28°C keeps that outcome competitive at 35.5%, while limited upside potential for 30°C or above reflects modest warming signals in some guidance. Official observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will determine resolution, with final model runs and real-time surface data expected to refine probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 21?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 21?
29°C 55%
28°C 37%
30°C 8%
27°C 4%
NOWE
$13,378 Wol.
NOWE
$13,378 Wol.
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
37%
29°C
55%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 55%
28°C 37%
30°C 8%
27°C 4%
NOWE
$13,378 Wol.
NOWE
$13,378 Wol.
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
$772 Wol.
1%
27°C
$1,440 Wol.
4%
28°C
$3,114 Wol.
37%
29°C
$3,954 Wol.
55%
30°C
$857 Wol.
8%
31°C
$814 Wol.
2%
32°C
$1,306 Wol.
1%
33°C
$348 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$191 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$291 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$291 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models projects a high of 29°C in Shanghai on September 21 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 55% implied probability. Stable late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and no significant frontal systems or tropical moisture intrusions support temperatures clustered between 28–30°C, consistent with historical early-autumn baselines near 28–29°C. Minor model spread around 28°C keeps that outcome competitive at 35.5%, while limited upside potential for 30°C or above reflects modest warming signals in some guidance. Official observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will determine resolution, with final model runs and real-time surface data expected to refine probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,378Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models projects a high of 29°C in Shanghai on September 21 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 55% implied probability. Stable late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and no significant frontal systems or tropical moisture intrusions support temperatures clustered between 28–30°C, consistent with historical early-autumn baselines near 28–29°C. Minor model spread around 28°C keeps that outcome competitive at 35.5%, while limited upside potential for 30°C or above reflects modest warming signals in some guidance. Official observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will determine resolution, with final model runs and real-time surface data expected to refine probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,378Data zakończenia
Sep 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models projects a high of 29°C in Shanghai on September 21 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds, positioning that outcome as the market leader at 55% implied probability. Stable late-summer conditions with moderate humidity and no significant frontal systems or tropical moisture intrusions support temperatures clustered between 28–30°C, consistent with historical early-autumn baselines near 28–29°C. Minor model spread around 28°C keeps that outcome competitive at 35.5%, while limited upside potential for 30°C or above reflects modest warming signals in some guidance. Official observations from the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau will determine resolution, with final model runs and real-time surface data expected to refine probabilities before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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