Current forecast models, including GFS runs and local Chinese meteorological guidance, converge on overnight lows of 22–23°C for Shanghai on September 21 under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This range reflects typical late-September radiative cooling moderated by high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak cold-air advection rather than any strong frontal system. Recent days have featured similar mild conditions with lows near 22–23°C after scattered showers, keeping probabilities tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes. Official station readings at resolution will hinge on exact minimum timing and cloud cover, with little expected deviation from climatological norms around 21–23°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 21?
22°C 45%
23°C 43%
26°C 12%
21°C 10%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
10%
22°C
45%
23°C
43%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C
12%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 45%
23°C 43%
26°C 12%
21°C 10%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
10%
22°C
45%
23°C
43%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C
12%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models, including GFS runs and local Chinese meteorological guidance, converge on overnight lows of 22–23°C for Shanghai on September 21 under partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with light northerly winds. This range reflects typical late-September radiative cooling moderated by high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak cold-air advection rather than any strong frontal system. Recent days have featured similar mild conditions with lows near 22–23°C after scattered showers, keeping probabilities tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes. Official station readings at resolution will hinge on exact minimum timing and cloud cover, with little expected deviation from climatological norms around 21–23°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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