Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates Austin highs on August 1 will likely fall in the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with early-August climatology where average maxima reach about 99°F under strong summer insolation and high-pressure dominance. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by variable afternoon convection potential and subtle steering influences on regional moisture, keeping probabilities closely matched between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins. Historical patterns confirm this range occurs frequently without extreme heat anomalies or strong frontal passages, while any late-day thunderstorm development could cap peaks slightly lower. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 1?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 1?
100-101°F 35%
98-99°F 32%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
32%
100-101°F
35%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 35%
98-99°F 32%
96-97°F 16%
102-103°F 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
91°F or below
$158 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$20 Wol.
3%
94-95°F
$142 Wol.
7%
96-97°F
$520 Wol.
16%
98-99°F
$239 Wol.
32%
100-101°F
$625 Wol.
35%
102-103°F
$139 Wol.
10%
104-105°F
$134 Wol.
3%
106-107°F
$161 Wol.
1%
108-109°F
$158 Wol.
1%
110°F or higher
$197 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates Austin highs on August 1 will likely fall in the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with early-August climatology where average maxima reach about 99°F under strong summer insolation and high-pressure dominance. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by variable afternoon convection potential and subtle steering influences on regional moisture, keeping probabilities closely matched between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins. Historical patterns confirm this range occurs frequently without extreme heat anomalies or strong frontal passages, while any late-day thunderstorm development could cap peaks slightly lower. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$2,491Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates Austin highs on August 1 will likely fall in the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with early-August climatology where average maxima reach about 99°F under strong summer insolation and high-pressure dominance. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by variable afternoon convection potential and subtle steering influences on regional moisture, keeping probabilities closely matched between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins. Historical patterns confirm this range occurs frequently without extreme heat anomalies or strong frontal passages, while any late-day thunderstorm development could cap peaks slightly lower. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,491Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates Austin highs on August 1 will likely fall in the upper 90s to low 100s, aligning with early-August climatology where average maxima reach about 99°F under strong summer insolation and high-pressure dominance. Model consensus shows modest spread driven by variable afternoon convection potential and subtle steering influences on regional moisture, keeping probabilities closely matched between the 98–99°F and 100–101°F bins. Historical patterns confirm this range occurs frequently without extreme heat anomalies or strong frontal passages, while any late-day thunderstorm development could cap peaks slightly lower. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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