Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on June 18, aligning with the near-even market probabilities for those two bins. Subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southerly flow create the tight spread across the 30–33°C outcomes, while historical June averages near 30–31°C limit the likelihood of extremes above 34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs that resolve these local thermodynamic details ahead of the June 18 observation window at Beijing Capital International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on June 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 18?
32°C 34%
31°C 31%
30°C 20%
29°C 9%
NOWE
$40,923 Wol.
NOWE
$40,923 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
20%
31°C
31%
32°C
34%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 31%
30°C 20%
29°C 9%
NOWE
$40,923 Wol.
NOWE
$40,923 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
26°C or below
$4,450 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$1,782 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$2,760 Wol.
1%
29°C
$2,688 Wol.
9%
30°C
$2,868 Wol.
20%
31°C
$2,801 Wol.
31%
32°C
$8,367 Wol.
34%
33°C
$5,867 Wol.
8%
34°C
$3,761 Wol.
1%
35°C
$2,337 Wol.
1%
36°C or higher
$3,243 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on June 18, aligning with the near-even market probabilities for those two bins. Subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southerly flow create the tight spread across the 30–33°C outcomes, while historical June averages near 30–31°C limit the likelihood of extremes above 34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs that resolve these local thermodynamic details ahead of the June 18 observation window at Beijing Capital International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$40,923Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on June 18, aligning with the near-even market probabilities for those two bins. Subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southerly flow create the tight spread across the 30–33°C outcomes, while historical June averages near 30–31°C limit the likelihood of extremes above 34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs that resolve these local thermodynamic details ahead of the June 18 observation window at Beijing Capital International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$40,923Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent China Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts point to a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Beijing on June 18, aligning with the near-even market probabilities for those two bins. Subtle variations in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and weak southerly flow create the tight spread across the 30–33°C outcomes, while historical June averages near 30–31°C limit the likelihood of extremes above 34°C. Traders are weighting the latest model runs that resolve these local thermodynamic details ahead of the June 18 observation window at Beijing Capital International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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