Recent model consensus from agencies including Argentina’s SMN points to a post-frontal recovery on October 5, with northerly flow advecting milder air after the October 3 cold front and associated rainfall. Persistent cloud cover and moderate northeast winds are expected to limit strong daytime heating, keeping maximum temperatures near 20–22 °C. Short-term ensemble spreads arise mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any residual cloud, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 23 °C and 24 °C. Updated high-resolution runs and local observations over the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.