Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chengdu on August 13, 2026, under prevailing summer subtropical high-pressure patterns that favor clear skies and strong insolation. This aligns with historical mid-August climatology for the Sichuan basin, where temperatures commonly peak near 34–37°C amid high humidity. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in these consensus runs, which incorporate surface observations and ensemble data showing limited variability. A sudden influx of monsoon moisture or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, while an unforecast heat surge might push readings higher, though current guidance indicates low probability of either shift before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 13?
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$55,957 Wol.
$55,957 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$55,957 Wol.
$55,957 Wol.
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
$7,488 Wol.
No
33°C
$3,386 Wol.
No
34°C
$6,644 Wol.
No
35°C
$7,288 Wol.
No
36°C
$6,477 Wol.
Yes
37°C
$10,515 Wol.
No
38°C
$5,639 Wol.
No
39°C
$4,028 Wol.
No
40°C
$3,063 Wol.
No
41°C
$937 Wol.
No
42°C or higher
$493 Wol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chengdu on August 13, 2026, under prevailing summer subtropical high-pressure patterns that favor clear skies and strong insolation. This aligns with historical mid-August climatology for the Sichuan basin, where temperatures commonly peak near 34–37°C amid high humidity. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in these consensus runs, which incorporate surface observations and ensemble data showing limited variability. A sudden influx of monsoon moisture or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, while an unforecast heat surge might push readings higher, though current guidance indicates low probability of either shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$55,957Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chengdu on August 13, 2026, under prevailing summer subtropical high-pressure patterns that favor clear skies and strong insolation. This aligns with historical mid-August climatology for the Sichuan basin, where temperatures commonly peak near 34–37°C amid high humidity. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in these consensus runs, which incorporate surface observations and ensemble data showing limited variability. A sudden influx of monsoon moisture or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, while an unforecast heat surge might push readings higher, though current guidance indicates low probability of either shift before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$55,957Data zakończenia
Aug 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUURozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chengdu on August 13, 2026, under prevailing summer subtropical high-pressure patterns that favor clear skies and strong insolation. This aligns with historical mid-August climatology for the Sichuan basin, where temperatures commonly peak near 34–37°C amid high humidity. Market-implied odds reflect high confidence in these consensus runs, which incorporate surface observations and ensemble data showing limited variability. A sudden influx of monsoon moisture or thicker cloud cover could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, while an unforecast heat surge might push readings higher, though current guidance indicates low probability of either shift before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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