Trader sentiment for Chengdu's July 21 peak temperature clusters around 38–40 °C because short-range forecast models show a continuation of the current mid-July heat wave, with afternoon highs influenced by subtropical monsoon flow, weak steering winds, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Historical July averages near 30–34 °C provide context, yet recent station observations exceeding 37 °C and ensemble guidance showing modest warming potential through the weekend keep the 39 °C outcome narrowly favored. Key variables include cloud cover timing, any localized thunderstorm development that could cap temperatures, and official China Meteorological Administration verification at the primary urban station. New model runs and updated guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these tightly bunched probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 21?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 21?
39°C 33%
40°C 29%
38°C 16%
41°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 21, 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
3%
37°C
7%
38°C
16%
39°C
33%
40°C
29%
41°C
11%
42°C
2%
43°C
1%
44°C or higher
<1%
39°C 33%
40°C 29%
38°C 16%
41°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 21, 2026
34°C or below
$423 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$295 Wol.
1%
36°C
$317 Wol.
3%
37°C
$320 Wol.
7%
38°C
$463 Wol.
16%
39°C
$153 Wol.
33%
40°C
$457 Wol.
29%
41°C
$1,653 Wol.
11%
42°C
$885 Wol.
2%
43°C
$132 Wol.
1%
44°C or higher
$195 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's July 21 peak temperature clusters around 38–40 °C because short-range forecast models show a continuation of the current mid-July heat wave, with afternoon highs influenced by subtropical monsoon flow, weak steering winds, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Historical July averages near 30–34 °C provide context, yet recent station observations exceeding 37 °C and ensemble guidance showing modest warming potential through the weekend keep the 39 °C outcome narrowly favored. Key variables include cloud cover timing, any localized thunderstorm development that could cap temperatures, and official China Meteorological Administration verification at the primary urban station. New model runs and updated guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these tightly bunched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,294Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Chengdu's July 21 peak temperature clusters around 38–40 °C because short-range forecast models show a continuation of the current mid-July heat wave, with afternoon highs influenced by subtropical monsoon flow, weak steering winds, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Historical July averages near 30–34 °C provide context, yet recent station observations exceeding 37 °C and ensemble guidance showing modest warming potential through the weekend keep the 39 °C outcome narrowly favored. Key variables include cloud cover timing, any localized thunderstorm development that could cap temperatures, and official China Meteorological Administration verification at the primary urban station. New model runs and updated guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these tightly bunched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,294Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chengdu's July 21 peak temperature clusters around 38–40 °C because short-range forecast models show a continuation of the current mid-July heat wave, with afternoon highs influenced by subtropical monsoon flow, weak steering winds, and high humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Historical July averages near 30–34 °C provide context, yet recent station observations exceeding 37 °C and ensemble guidance showing modest warming potential through the weekend keep the 39 °C outcome narrowly favored. Key variables include cloud cover timing, any localized thunderstorm development that could cap temperatures, and official China Meteorological Administration verification at the primary urban station. New model runs and updated guidance expected within 48 hours will likely refine these tightly bunched probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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