Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a high of 31–32°C on July 21 amid the southwest monsoon, with 40–60% rain chances and frequent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating. This aligns closely with the tight market clustering around 32°C and 33°C, as traders weigh typical July climatology—average highs near 31°C—against variability in shower timing and intensity. Thunderstorms or breaks in cloud cover could push maxima to 33–34°C, while persistent rainfall would cap them at 31°C or lower; urban heat island effects in Manila add modest upward bias. Updated PAGASA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on July 21?
Highest temperature in Manila on July 21?
33°C 43%
32°C 30%
34°C 22%
35°C 3.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 21, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
30%
33°C
43%
34°C
22%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 43%
32°C 30%
34°C 22%
35°C 3.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 21, 2026
29°C or below
$129 Wol.
1%
30°C
$386 Wol.
1%
31°C
$502 Wol.
3%
32°C
$346 Wol.
30%
33°C
$317 Wol.
43%
34°C
$45 Wol.
22%
35°C
$12 Wol.
3%
36°C
$16 Wol.
1%
37°C
$45 Wol.
1%
38°C
$174 Wol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$129 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a high of 31–32°C on July 21 amid the southwest monsoon, with 40–60% rain chances and frequent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating. This aligns closely with the tight market clustering around 32°C and 33°C, as traders weigh typical July climatology—average highs near 31°C—against variability in shower timing and intensity. Thunderstorms or breaks in cloud cover could push maxima to 33–34°C, while persistent rainfall would cap them at 31°C or lower; urban heat island effects in Manila add modest upward bias. Updated PAGASA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,101Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a high of 31–32°C on July 21 amid the southwest monsoon, with 40–60% rain chances and frequent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating. This aligns closely with the tight market clustering around 32°C and 33°C, as traders weigh typical July climatology—average highs near 31°C—against variability in shower timing and intensity. Thunderstorms or breaks in cloud cover could push maxima to 33–34°C, while persistent rainfall would cap them at 31°C or lower; urban heat island effects in Manila add modest upward bias. Updated PAGASA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,101Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a high of 31–32°C on July 21 amid the southwest monsoon, with 40–60% rain chances and frequent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating. This aligns closely with the tight market clustering around 32°C and 33°C, as traders weigh typical July climatology—average highs near 31°C—against variability in shower timing and intensity. Thunderstorms or breaks in cloud cover could push maxima to 33–34°C, while persistent rainfall would cap them at 31°C or lower; urban heat island effects in Manila add modest upward bias. Updated PAGASA briefings and model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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