Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to a 33–35°C range for Tokyo on July 21 amid a persistent heatwave fueled by a strong Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, humid air northward. This setup, combined with above-normal seasonal baselines from a warming climate and northward-shifted westerlies, underpins trader clustering around 34–36°C outcomes. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap daytime maxima, urban heat-island amplification in central districts, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 21?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 21?
35°C 42%
34°C 26%
36°C 20%
37°C 7.5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 21, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
7%
34°C
26%
35°C
42%
36°C
20%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 42%
34°C 26%
36°C 20%
37°C 7.5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 21, 2026
28°C or below
$211 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$52 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$37 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$103 Wol.
1%
32°C
$26 Wol.
2%
33°C
$336 Wol.
7%
34°C
$497 Wol.
26%
35°C
$798 Wol.
42%
36°C
$232 Wol.
20%
37°C
$1,708 Wol.
8%
38°C or higher
$660 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to a 33–35°C range for Tokyo on July 21 amid a persistent heatwave fueled by a strong Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, humid air northward. This setup, combined with above-normal seasonal baselines from a warming climate and northward-shifted westerlies, underpins trader clustering around 34–36°C outcomes. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap daytime maxima, urban heat-island amplification in central districts, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,661Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to a 33–35°C range for Tokyo on July 21 amid a persistent heatwave fueled by a strong Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, humid air northward. This setup, combined with above-normal seasonal baselines from a warming climate and northward-shifted westerlies, underpins trader clustering around 34–36°C outcomes. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap daytime maxima, urban heat-island amplification in central districts, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,661Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to a 33–35°C range for Tokyo on July 21 amid a persistent heatwave fueled by a strong Pacific high-pressure system advecting warm, humid air northward. This setup, combined with above-normal seasonal baselines from a warming climate and northward-shifted westerlies, underpins trader clustering around 34–36°C outcomes. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover or scattered showers that could cap daytime maxima, urban heat-island amplification in central districts, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities as resolution approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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