Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate daytime maxima in Chengdu likely reaching 38–41°C on July 25 amid persistent high-pressure influence and the Sichuan Basin’s topographic heat-trapping effect, where surrounding mountains limit ventilation and sustain elevated humidity levels near 70%. Afternoon convective clouds or scattered showers, common in the region’s subtropical monsoon regime, introduce the main uncertainty by potentially capping extreme heating or allowing brief clear-sky spikes. China Meteorological Administration alerts highlight ongoing regional heat, with historical July climatology showing frequent 35–39°C readings. Trader consensus clusters on 39–41°C outcomes as the latest model spreads and precipitation timing remain the key variables ahead of final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 25?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 25?
40°C 29%
39°C 22%
41°C 19%
43°C or higher 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 25, 2026
33°C or below
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
8%
38°C
11%
39°C
27%
40°C
29%
41°C
21%
42°C
9%
43°C or higher
13%
40°C 29%
39°C 22%
41°C 19%
43°C or higher 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 25, 2026
33°C or below
$131 Wol.
1%
34°C
$161 Wol.
1%
35°C
$138 Wol.
2%
36°C
$169 Wol.
4%
37°C
$163 Wol.
8%
38°C
$112 Wol.
11%
39°C
$65 Wol.
27%
40°C
$211 Wol.
29%
41°C
$535 Wol.
21%
42°C
$72 Wol.
9%
43°C or higher
$229 Wol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate daytime maxima in Chengdu likely reaching 38–41°C on July 25 amid persistent high-pressure influence and the Sichuan Basin’s topographic heat-trapping effect, where surrounding mountains limit ventilation and sustain elevated humidity levels near 70%. Afternoon convective clouds or scattered showers, common in the region’s subtropical monsoon regime, introduce the main uncertainty by potentially capping extreme heating or allowing brief clear-sky spikes. China Meteorological Administration alerts highlight ongoing regional heat, with historical July climatology showing frequent 35–39°C readings. Trader consensus clusters on 39–41°C outcomes as the latest model spreads and precipitation timing remain the key variables ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,971Data zakończenia
Jul 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate daytime maxima in Chengdu likely reaching 38–41°C on July 25 amid persistent high-pressure influence and the Sichuan Basin’s topographic heat-trapping effect, where surrounding mountains limit ventilation and sustain elevated humidity levels near 70%. Afternoon convective clouds or scattered showers, common in the region’s subtropical monsoon regime, introduce the main uncertainty by potentially capping extreme heating or allowing brief clear-sky spikes. China Meteorological Administration alerts highlight ongoing regional heat, with historical July climatology showing frequent 35–39°C readings. Trader consensus clusters on 39–41°C outcomes as the latest model spreads and precipitation timing remain the key variables ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,971Data zakończenia
Jul 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate daytime maxima in Chengdu likely reaching 38–41°C on July 25 amid persistent high-pressure influence and the Sichuan Basin’s topographic heat-trapping effect, where surrounding mountains limit ventilation and sustain elevated humidity levels near 70%. Afternoon convective clouds or scattered showers, common in the region’s subtropical monsoon regime, introduce the main uncertainty by potentially capping extreme heating or allowing brief clear-sky spikes. China Meteorological Administration alerts highlight ongoing regional heat, with historical July climatology showing frequent 35–39°C readings. Trader consensus clusters on 39–41°C outcomes as the latest model spreads and precipitation timing remain the key variables ahead of final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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