Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 23 maximum will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, reduced monsoon rainfall, and urban heat retention. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends show frequent exceedances during clear-sky periods; traders weigh ensemble model spreads and the potential for localized intensification from the East China Sea breeze against any incoming frontal systems.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on July 23?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 23?
35°C 34%
36°C 30%
34°C 15%
37°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 23, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
7%
34°C
15%
35°C
34%
36°C
30%
37°C
15%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
1%
35°C 34%
36°C 30%
34°C 15%
37°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 23, 2026
30°C or below
$413 Wol.
1%
31°C
$334 Wol.
1%
32°C
$220 Wol.
2%
33°C
$233 Wol.
7%
34°C
$198 Wol.
15%
35°C
$433 Wol.
34%
36°C
$218 Wol.
30%
37°C
$626 Wol.
15%
38°C
$81 Wol.
3%
39°C
$164 Wol.
1%
40°C or higher
$253 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 23 maximum will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, reduced monsoon rainfall, and urban heat retention. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends show frequent exceedances during clear-sky periods; traders weigh ensemble model spreads and the potential for localized intensification from the East China Sea breeze against any incoming frontal systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,174Data zakończenia
Jul 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 23 maximum will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, reduced monsoon rainfall, and urban heat retention. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends show frequent exceedances during clear-sky periods; traders weigh ensemble model spreads and the potential for localized intensification from the East China Sea breeze against any incoming frontal systems.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,174Data zakończenia
Jul 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 23 maximum will likely fall in the mid-30s Celsius amid typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, reduced monsoon rainfall, and urban heat retention. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 35°C and 36°C reflects uncertainty in short-term variables such as afternoon cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer moisture that can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 32°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends show frequent exceedances during clear-sky periods; traders weigh ensemble model spreads and the potential for localized intensification from the East China Sea breeze against any incoming frontal systems.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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