Hong Kong's July climate typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight. Recent HKO seasonal guidance projects normal to above-normal temperatures through September 2026, while short-range models for July 23 point to a minimum near 27°C amid light winds and possible scattered showers that could slightly suppress or elevate the reading depending on cloud cover. The closely matched 47.5% odds on extremes versus the 19–21% cluster around 27–28°C reflect genuine forecast spread in steering patterns and localized urban heat effects, with updated model runs expected to narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 23?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 23?
28°C 49%
26°C 20%
27°C 16%
29°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 23, 2026
22°C or below
9%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
20%
27°C
16%
28°C
49%
29°C
16%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 49%
26°C 20%
27°C 16%
29°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 23, 2026
22°C or below
$32 Wol.
9%
23°C
$25 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$30 Wol.
1%
25°C
$76 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$41 Wol.
20%
27°C
$26 Wol.
16%
28°C
$173 Wol.
49%
29°C
$20 Wol.
16%
30°C
$51 Wol.
1%
31°C
$32 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$32 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's July climate typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight. Recent HKO seasonal guidance projects normal to above-normal temperatures through September 2026, while short-range models for July 23 point to a minimum near 27°C amid light winds and possible scattered showers that could slightly suppress or elevate the reading depending on cloud cover. The closely matched 47.5% odds on extremes versus the 19–21% cluster around 27–28°C reflect genuine forecast spread in steering patterns and localized urban heat effects, with updated model runs expected to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$538Data zakończenia
Jul 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's July climate typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight. Recent HKO seasonal guidance projects normal to above-normal temperatures through September 2026, while short-range models for July 23 point to a minimum near 27°C amid light winds and possible scattered showers that could slightly suppress or elevate the reading depending on cloud cover. The closely matched 47.5% odds on extremes versus the 19–21% cluster around 27–28°C reflect genuine forecast spread in steering patterns and localized urban heat effects, with updated model runs expected to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$538Data zakończenia
Jul 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's July climate typically features overnight lows of 26–28°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon, with high humidity limiting radiative cooling overnight. Recent HKO seasonal guidance projects normal to above-normal temperatures through September 2026, while short-range models for July 23 point to a minimum near 27°C amid light winds and possible scattered showers that could slightly suppress or elevate the reading depending on cloud cover. The closely matched 47.5% odds on extremes versus the 19–21% cluster around 27–28°C reflect genuine forecast spread in steering patterns and localized urban heat effects, with updated model runs expected to narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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