Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs project a daily maximum near 29–31°C for July 21, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating under typical July monsoon conditions. Subtle differences in timing and extent of rainfall across guidance keep the 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as additional moisture convergence can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Seasonal signals of normal-to-above-normal warmth provide limited upward bias, but the two-day horizon leaves resolution sensitive to the next official forecast updates and any rapid changes in steering flow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on July 21?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 21?
30°C 92%
31°C 8%
32°C 1.0%
25°C or below <1%
$135,287 Wol.
$135,287 Wol.
Jul 21, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
92%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 92%
31°C 8%
32°C 1.0%
25°C or below <1%
$135,287 Wol.
$135,287 Wol.
Jul 21, 2026
25°C or below
$376 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$1,381 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$2,248 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$20,048 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$14,667 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$30,342 Wol.
92%
31°C
$15,918 Wol.
8%
32°C
$20,641 Wol.
1%
33°C
$18,244 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$12,497 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$2,158 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs project a daily maximum near 29–31°C for July 21, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating under typical July monsoon conditions. Subtle differences in timing and extent of rainfall across guidance keep the 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as additional moisture convergence can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Seasonal signals of normal-to-above-normal warmth provide limited upward bias, but the two-day horizon leaves resolution sensitive to the next official forecast updates and any rapid changes in steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$135,287Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs project a daily maximum near 29–31°C for July 21, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating under typical July monsoon conditions. Subtle differences in timing and extent of rainfall across guidance keep the 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as additional moisture convergence can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Seasonal signals of normal-to-above-normal warmth provide limited upward bias, but the two-day horizon leaves resolution sensitive to the next official forecast updates and any rapid changes in steering flow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$135,287Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble model runs project a daily maximum near 29–31°C for July 21, with scattered showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating under typical July monsoon conditions. Subtle differences in timing and extent of rainfall across guidance keep the 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing, as additional moisture convergence can suppress temperatures by 1–2°C while clearer intervals allow brief spikes toward 32°C. Seasonal signals of normal-to-above-normal warmth provide limited upward bias, but the two-day horizon leaves resolution sensitive to the next official forecast updates and any rapid changes in steering flow.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania