Current numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 33°C in Chengdu on June 19, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and daytime heating across the Sichuan Basin, tempered by increasing low-level moisture and scattered convective activity. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 32–34°C outcomes centers on forecast timing of thundershowers, which can reduce surface insolation and cap maxima, alongside variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind that modulate urban heat retention in the basin’s enclosed topography. Historical June averages hover near 29–30°C, with occasional spikes above 33°C when clear-sky periods align with the ridge; short-range model spread and potential shifts in precipitation timing sustain the balanced trader probabilities across these thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 19?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 19?
33°C 33%
32°C 26%
34°C 21%
31°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 19, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
11%
32°C
26%
33°C
33%
34°C
21%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 33%
32°C 26%
34°C 21%
31°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 19, 2026
29°C or below
$462 Wol.
2%
30°C
$172 Wol.
3%
31°C
$243 Wol.
11%
32°C
$1,365 Wol.
26%
33°C
$424 Wol.
33%
34°C
$303 Wol.
21%
35°C
$381 Wol.
7%
36°C
$176 Wol.
3%
37°C
$605 Wol.
1%
38°C
$437 Wol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$584 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 33°C in Chengdu on June 19, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and daytime heating across the Sichuan Basin, tempered by increasing low-level moisture and scattered convective activity. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 32–34°C outcomes centers on forecast timing of thundershowers, which can reduce surface insolation and cap maxima, alongside variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind that modulate urban heat retention in the basin’s enclosed topography. Historical June averages hover near 29–30°C, with occasional spikes above 33°C when clear-sky periods align with the ridge; short-range model spread and potential shifts in precipitation timing sustain the balanced trader probabilities across these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 17, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,062Data zakończenia
Jun 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 12:43 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 33°C in Chengdu on June 19, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and daytime heating across the Sichuan Basin, tempered by increasing low-level moisture and scattered convective activity. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 32–34°C outcomes centers on forecast timing of thundershowers, which can reduce surface insolation and cap maxima, alongside variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind that modulate urban heat retention in the basin’s enclosed topography. Historical June averages hover near 29–30°C, with occasional spikes above 33°C when clear-sky periods align with the ridge; short-range model spread and potential shifts in precipitation timing sustain the balanced trader probabilities across these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,062Data zakończenia
Jun 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 12:43 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 33°C in Chengdu on June 19, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and daytime heating across the Sichuan Basin, tempered by increasing low-level moisture and scattered convective activity. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 32–34°C outcomes centers on forecast timing of thundershowers, which can reduce surface insolation and cap maxima, alongside variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind that modulate urban heat retention in the basin’s enclosed topography. Historical June averages hover near 29–30°C, with occasional spikes above 33°C when clear-sky periods align with the ridge; short-range model spread and potential shifts in precipitation timing sustain the balanced trader probabilities across these thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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