Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates a seasonable high near 86°F for Chicago on July 21, driven by moderate high pressure, limited warm advection, and dew points in the mid-60s that constrain daytime heating close to the 84.6°F July normal. Trader consensus clusters around the 84–87°F bins because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and steering flow can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two across model runs. Recent cooler readings after mid-July heat episodes have kept probabilities for 88°F+ modest while capping downside risk below 82°F absent stronger northerly flow. Updated short-range guidance tonight will likely refine these narrow ranges ahead of official resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on July 21?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 21?
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 26%
86-87°F 19%
80-81°F 6.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 21, 2026
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
44%
86-87°F
19%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 44%
82-83°F 26%
86-87°F 19%
80-81°F 6.0%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 21, 2026
79°F or below
$1,201 Wol.
2%
80-81°F
$1,051 Wol.
6%
82-83°F
$1,119 Wol.
26%
84-85°F
$1,490 Wol.
44%
86-87°F
$830 Wol.
19%
88-89°F
$876 Wol.
6%
90-91°F
$1,772 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$374 Wol.
<1%
94-95°F
$468 Wol.
<1%
96-97°F
$328 Wol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$313 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates a seasonable high near 86°F for Chicago on July 21, driven by moderate high pressure, limited warm advection, and dew points in the mid-60s that constrain daytime heating close to the 84.6°F July normal. Trader consensus clusters around the 84–87°F bins because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and steering flow can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two across model runs. Recent cooler readings after mid-July heat episodes have kept probabilities for 88°F+ modest while capping downside risk below 82°F absent stronger northerly flow. Updated short-range guidance tonight will likely refine these narrow ranges ahead of official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 19, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,822Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 9:08 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates a seasonable high near 86°F for Chicago on July 21, driven by moderate high pressure, limited warm advection, and dew points in the mid-60s that constrain daytime heating close to the 84.6°F July normal. Trader consensus clusters around the 84–87°F bins because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and steering flow can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two across model runs. Recent cooler readings after mid-July heat episodes have kept probabilities for 88°F+ modest while capping downside risk below 82°F absent stronger northerly flow. Updated short-range guidance tonight will likely refine these narrow ranges ahead of official resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,822Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 9:08 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicates a seasonable high near 86°F for Chicago on July 21, driven by moderate high pressure, limited warm advection, and dew points in the mid-60s that constrain daytime heating close to the 84.6°F July normal. Trader consensus clusters around the 84–87°F bins because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud timing, and steering flow can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two across model runs. Recent cooler readings after mid-July heat episodes have kept probabilities for 88°F+ modest while capping downside risk below 82°F absent stronger northerly flow. Updated short-range guidance tonight will likely refine these narrow ranges ahead of official resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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