Persistent summer heatwave conditions and urban heat island effects in Tokyo are elevating overnight lows ahead of July 22, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 36°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and weak winds further suppress temperature drops, pushing market-implied odds toward minimums of 28–32°C or higher as the consensus range. Recent extreme heat days, including the first 35°C+ readings of the season, have reinforced trader views on sustained tropical-night patterns where lows may remain above 26°C. Model consensus points to modest variability from cloud cover or frontal influences, creating tight spreads among leading outcomes while keeping sub-24°C scenarios improbable given current synoptic setup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 22?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 22?
28°C 48%
27°C 28%
29°C 15%
30°C 3.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 22, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
28%
28°C
48%
29°C
15%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 48%
27°C 28%
29°C 15%
30°C 3.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 22, 2026
22°C or below
$113 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$186 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$196 Wol.
1%
25°C
$153 Wol.
1%
26°C
$204 Wol.
2%
27°C
$3,648 Wol.
28%
28°C
$2,877 Wol.
48%
29°C
$385 Wol.
15%
30°C
$183 Wol.
3%
31°C
$125 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$183 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heatwave conditions and urban heat island effects in Tokyo are elevating overnight lows ahead of July 22, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 36°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and weak winds further suppress temperature drops, pushing market-implied odds toward minimums of 28–32°C or higher as the consensus range. Recent extreme heat days, including the first 35°C+ readings of the season, have reinforced trader views on sustained tropical-night patterns where lows may remain above 26°C. Model consensus points to modest variability from cloud cover or frontal influences, creating tight spreads among leading outcomes while keeping sub-24°C scenarios improbable given current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,254Data zakończenia
Jul 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heatwave conditions and urban heat island effects in Tokyo are elevating overnight lows ahead of July 22, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 36°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and weak winds further suppress temperature drops, pushing market-implied odds toward minimums of 28–32°C or higher as the consensus range. Recent extreme heat days, including the first 35°C+ readings of the season, have reinforced trader views on sustained tropical-night patterns where lows may remain above 26°C. Model consensus points to modest variability from cloud cover or frontal influences, creating tight spreads among leading outcomes while keeping sub-24°C scenarios improbable given current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,254Data zakończenia
Jul 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer heatwave conditions and urban heat island effects in Tokyo are elevating overnight lows ahead of July 22, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts showing partly cloudy skies and daytime highs near 36°C that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity and weak winds further suppress temperature drops, pushing market-implied odds toward minimums of 28–32°C or higher as the consensus range. Recent extreme heat days, including the first 35°C+ readings of the season, have reinforced trader views on sustained tropical-night patterns where lows may remain above 26°C. Model consensus points to modest variability from cloud cover or frontal influences, creating tight spreads among leading outcomes while keeping sub-24°C scenarios improbable given current synoptic setup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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