Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high near 78–81°F in Chicago on July 24, below the 1991–2020 normal of 84.5°F, as a cooler, more stable air mass lingers with lighter winds and possible morning cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Traders have concentrated probability in the 78–81°F brackets because ensemble runs show modest spread driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passage timing. With resolution hinging on the official O’Hare maximum, the tight clustering of odds around these values captures both the current forecast consensus and the realistic range of verification outcomes once final observations are recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on July 24?
Highest temperature in Chicago on July 24?
80-81°F 43%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 24, 2026
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
43%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 43%
78-79°F 30%
82-83°F 19%
76-77°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 24, 2026
75°F or below
$156 Wol.
2%
76-77°F
$319 Wol.
6%
78-79°F
$242 Wol.
30%
80-81°F
$121 Wol.
43%
82-83°F
$78 Wol.
19%
84-85°F
$47 Wol.
3%
86-87°F
$45 Wol.
1%
88-89°F
$31 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$235 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$509 Wol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$229 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high near 78–81°F in Chicago on July 24, below the 1991–2020 normal of 84.5°F, as a cooler, more stable air mass lingers with lighter winds and possible morning cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Traders have concentrated probability in the 78–81°F brackets because ensemble runs show modest spread driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passage timing. With resolution hinging on the official O’Hare maximum, the tight clustering of odds around these values captures both the current forecast consensus and the realistic range of verification outcomes once final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,992Data zakończenia
Jul 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high near 78–81°F in Chicago on July 24, below the 1991–2020 normal of 84.5°F, as a cooler, more stable air mass lingers with lighter winds and possible morning cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Traders have concentrated probability in the 78–81°F brackets because ensemble runs show modest spread driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passage timing. With resolution hinging on the official O’Hare maximum, the tight clustering of odds around these values captures both the current forecast consensus and the realistic range of verification outcomes once final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,992Data zakończenia
Jul 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 22, 2026, 9:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a high near 78–81°F in Chicago on July 24, below the 1991–2020 normal of 84.5°F, as a cooler, more stable air mass lingers with lighter winds and possible morning cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Traders have concentrated probability in the 78–81°F brackets because ensemble runs show modest spread driven by small differences in boundary-layer mixing and any weak frontal passage timing. With resolution hinging on the official O’Hare maximum, the tight clustering of odds around these values captures both the current forecast consensus and the realistic range of verification outcomes once final observations are recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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