Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to minimum temperatures in Tokyo on July 24 clustering in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses under a subtropical high and limited overnight radiative cooling from increasing cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions suppress typical nocturnal temperature drops, pushing outcomes above the long-term July average low near 23–24°C. Urban heat island effects and high humidity further moderate cooling rates, creating tight spreads between 25°C and 28°C resolutions. Model consensus remains fluid with shower timing and cloud thickness as key variables; fresh JMA updates and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise overnight minimum before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 24?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 24?
26°C 38%
27°C 37%
25°C 24%
31°C or higher 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 24, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
7%
23°C
8%
24°C
5%
25°C
24%
26°C
53%
27°C
37%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
8%
31°C or higher
14%
26°C 38%
27°C 37%
25°C 24%
31°C or higher 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 24, 2026
21°C or below
$49 Wol.
1%
22°C
$37 Wol.
7%
23°C
$34 Wol.
8%
24°C
$50 Wol.
5%
25°C
$7 Wol.
24%
26°C
$24 Wol.
53%
27°C
$21 Wol.
37%
28°C
$7 Wol.
5%
29°C
$7 Wol.
5%
30°C
$37 Wol.
8%
31°C or higher
$37 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to minimum temperatures in Tokyo on July 24 clustering in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses under a subtropical high and limited overnight radiative cooling from increasing cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions suppress typical nocturnal temperature drops, pushing outcomes above the long-term July average low near 23–24°C. Urban heat island effects and high humidity further moderate cooling rates, creating tight spreads between 25°C and 28°C resolutions. Model consensus remains fluid with shower timing and cloud thickness as key variables; fresh JMA updates and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise overnight minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$268Data zakończenia
Jul 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to minimum temperatures in Tokyo on July 24 clustering in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses under a subtropical high and limited overnight radiative cooling from increasing cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions suppress typical nocturnal temperature drops, pushing outcomes above the long-term July average low near 23–24°C. Urban heat island effects and high humidity further moderate cooling rates, creating tight spreads between 25°C and 28°C resolutions. Model consensus remains fluid with shower timing and cloud thickness as key variables; fresh JMA updates and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise overnight minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$268Data zakończenia
Jul 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts point to minimum temperatures in Tokyo on July 24 clustering in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses under a subtropical high and limited overnight radiative cooling from increasing cloud cover and scattered showers. These conditions suppress typical nocturnal temperature drops, pushing outcomes above the long-term July average low near 23–24°C. Urban heat island effects and high humidity further moderate cooling rates, creating tight spreads between 25°C and 28°C resolutions. Model consensus remains fluid with shower timing and cloud thickness as key variables; fresh JMA updates and ensemble runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise overnight minimum before market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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