Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on July 21 points to a hot, mostly sunny day with highs likely peaking near 104–105°F under weak high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin. Typical late-July climatology features afternoon temperatures averaging 98–102°F, but current drier conditions and limited cloud cover or convection could allow readings to edge higher, consistent with the combined 46.5% odds on 106°F and above. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Dallas on July 21?
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 21?
104-105°F 43%
106-107°F 30%
102-103°F 24%
108-109°F 4.6%
NOWE
$21,069 Wol.
NOWE
$21,069 Wol.
Jul 21, 2026
99°F or below
1%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
24%
104-105°F
43%
106-107°F
30%
108-109°F
5%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 43%
106-107°F 30%
102-103°F 24%
108-109°F 4.6%
NOWE
$21,069 Wol.
NOWE
$21,069 Wol.
Jul 21, 2026
99°F or below
$1,093 Wol.
1%
100-101°F
$1,473 Wol.
4%
102-103°F
$3,971 Wol.
24%
104-105°F
$5,708 Wol.
43%
106-107°F
$4,831 Wol.
30%
108-109°F
$1,078 Wol.
5%
110-111°F
$717 Wol.
1%
112-113°F
$844 Wol.
<1%
114-115°F
$605 Wol.
<1%
116-117°F
$442 Wol.
<1%
118°F or higher
$307 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on July 21 points to a hot, mostly sunny day with highs likely peaking near 104–105°F under weak high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin. Typical late-July climatology features afternoon temperatures averaging 98–102°F, but current drier conditions and limited cloud cover or convection could allow readings to edge higher, consistent with the combined 46.5% odds on 106°F and above. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$21,069Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on July 21 points to a hot, mostly sunny day with highs likely peaking near 104–105°F under weak high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin. Typical late-July climatology features afternoon temperatures averaging 98–102°F, but current drier conditions and limited cloud cover or convection could allow readings to edge higher, consistent with the combined 46.5% odds on 106°F and above. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$21,069Data zakończenia
Jul 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 19, 2026, 9:07 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Dallas on July 21 points to a hot, mostly sunny day with highs likely peaking near 104–105°F under weak high pressure and southerly flow, supporting the market's leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin. Typical late-July climatology features afternoon temperatures averaging 98–102°F, but current drier conditions and limited cloud cover or convection could allow readings to edge higher, consistent with the combined 46.5% odds on 106°F and above. Updated model runs tonight and morning observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania