Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a likely daily high near 13–14°C for Wellington on July 22, driven by typical mid-winter synoptic patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. Long-term climatology places average July maxima around 11–12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near- or below-average temperatures across the lower North Island. Short-range guidance shows no strong warming signals or cold outbreaks shifting the distribution, keeping the 14°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on July 22?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 22?
13°C 47%
14°C 39%
15°C 11%
12°C 6.9%
NOWE
$12,101 Wol.
NOWE
$12,101 Wol.
Jul 22, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
47%
14°C
39%
15°C
11%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 47%
14°C 39%
15°C 11%
12°C 6.9%
NOWE
$12,101 Wol.
NOWE
$12,101 Wol.
Jul 22, 2026
9°C or below
$376 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$445 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$1,002 Wol.
1%
12°C
$773 Wol.
7%
13°C
$3,412 Wol.
47%
14°C
$2,334 Wol.
39%
15°C
$1,604 Wol.
11%
16°C
$754 Wol.
1%
17°C
$742 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$290 Wol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$370 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a likely daily high near 13–14°C for Wellington on July 22, driven by typical mid-winter synoptic patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. Long-term climatology places average July maxima around 11–12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near- or below-average temperatures across the lower North Island. Short-range guidance shows no strong warming signals or cold outbreaks shifting the distribution, keeping the 14°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$12,101Data zakończenia
Jul 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a likely daily high near 13–14°C for Wellington on July 22, driven by typical mid-winter synoptic patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. Long-term climatology places average July maxima around 11–12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near- or below-average temperatures across the lower North Island. Short-range guidance shows no strong warming signals or cold outbreaks shifting the distribution, keeping the 14°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$12,101Data zakończenia
Jul 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from regional meteorological services indicate a likely daily high near 13–14°C for Wellington on July 22, driven by typical mid-winter synoptic patterns with moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating under mostly cloudy conditions. Long-term climatology places average July maxima around 11–12°C, with recent seasonal outlooks from NIWA showing near- or below-average temperatures across the lower North Island. Short-range guidance shows no strong warming signals or cold outbreaks shifting the distribution, keeping the 14°C outcome as the market leader at 55.5% implied probability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine confidence ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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